95-99ORIGINAL ' � S`( � S Council File # 95-99
sUgsrrru '
Green Sheet # 3 � 235
RESOLUTION
C1TY OF SA1NT PAUL, MINNESOTA
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Presented By
Referred To �' Committee: Date
WHEREAS, the Ayd Mill Road Study: Phase I Report, completed in 1988, concluded that the issues that
will be faced by the Ayd Mill Road study area over the next 20 yeazs if no major road changes are made
would be significant enough to warrant fi�rther study of alternatives in an Environmental Impact Statement
(EIS); and
WHEREAS, based on the Phase I Study, the Saint Paul City Council, in Resolution #89-378, requested
that an Environmental Impact Statement be conducted to study alternative road configurarions in the Ayd
Mill Road study area; and
WIIEREAS, the Saint Paul Planning Commission, in Mazch 1993, initiated the Ayd Mill Road EIS and
convened the Ayd Miil Road Task Force to work in an advisory role with staff and consultants during
preparation of the EIS; and
WHEREAS, the Ayd Mill Road Task Force, comprised of 27 neighborhood residential and commercial
representatives, as well as staff from affected agencies, has been meeting since September 1993; and
WHEREAS, the Ayd Mill Road Task Force has now completed the Scoping Phase of the EIS, and is
recommending a range of 9 alternatives for further study in the EIS; and
WHEREAS, the document enritled, "Ayd Mill Road Scoping Document and Draft Scoping Decision
Document" explains the Scoping Phase conducted to-date, evaluates the alterna6ves studied during the
Scoping Phase, identifies the issues to be studied in the EIS, and presents the Task Force's
recommendations for further study; and
WHEREAS, the Minnesota Environmental Quality Board Rules (Chapter 4410.2100, Subpart 3) require
that a public meeting be held during the Scoping public comment period and prior to the Scoping
Decision; and
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WHEREAS, the Saint Paul Piacuiing Commission has recommended that the City Council release the
"Ayd Mill Road Scoping Document and Draft Scoping Decision Document" '�° -��� �s:;ari���;�
...:...
�t� ��� ���°'£a�IC �� �� 3��at� ?,'�;; L�9� for public comment and set March 2, 1995 as the date
for a public meeting on the documenf;
NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED, that the Saint Paul City Council hereby releases the "Ayd Mill
oa Scoping Document and Draft Scoping Decision Document" as a'���d �� l�3e t��Tcl l�i� ��'�'�t
�t�re� a� 7�t�tt� 23, �9�� for public comment; and
44 BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED, that the City Council sets March 2, 1995 as the date for a joint Plauniug
45 Commission/City Council public meeting on the "Ayd Mill Road Scoping Document and Draft Scoping
46 Decision Document."
Requested by Department of:
Public Works ��r �
Adopted by Council: Date
Certified by Council Secretary
By:
Approved
By:
`?° � By: �
Form Approv�d by Ci�ty Attorney
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BY: k,` �.,-- � c ;:�.✓
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Approve by Mayor or Submis�sion to
Cou - 1
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95-q9
DEPAPTMENT/OFFICE/COUNCI4 DATE INRIATED p
�lic worxs 1-13-95 GREEN SHE T N_ 31235
CONTACT PERSON 8 P 7 INITIAUD INRIAVDATE
7 �dNCAUNGIL
Mike KlaSSe —6209 �.sswx �C17YATfORNEY �GT'CLEqK
MUST BE ON COUNCIL AGENDA BV (DAT� XUYBER FON BUDGEf DIflECfOR O FIN. & MGT. SEflVICES DIR.
� tt' ROUfING
�'���2 l 1995 OpD �MAYOP(ORASSISTAHi) O
TOTAL # OF S(GNATURE PAGES Z (CLIP ALL tACATfONS FOR SIGNATURE) �� � i_ �g -9 s
ACTONflE�UESTED:
Adoot resolution releasing "Ayd Mill Road ScopiiZg Docum�lt and Draft Scoping Decision
Document" for public conenent and setting Narch 2, 1995 as the date £or a joint Planning
CommissioniCit Council ublic meetin on t;ze document.
aECOMMENDAitONS: Approve (A) or Reject (p) PERSONAL SERVICE CONTRACTS MUST ANSWEti THE FOLLOWING UUESTIONS:
� PLAf•7NING COMMISSION — CIVIL SERVICE COMMISSION �� Has this persoMirm ever worked under a corrtrac[ for this tlepartment? -
_ q8 COMMITTEE _ YES NO
� STi�F 2. Has fhis person/firm ever been a city employee?
— YES NO
_ DISiRICT COUFT _ 3. Does this personRirm possess a skill not normall �
y possessetl by any current city empioyee.
SUPPORTSWHICHCOUNCILO&IECTNE? YES NO
Explain e�l yes answers on separate sheet and ettaeh to green sheet
INITIATING PROBLEM, �SSUE.OPPEIRTUNITY (WM, What, When, WM1ere, Why):
In 1989 the City Council requested that an Envirorvnental Impact Statement (EIS) be conducted
to study alternative road conPigurations in the Ayd Mill Road Study area. In 1993 the Saint
Paul Planning Commission £ormally initiated the EIS, and convened a neighborhood task force
to advise staff and the consultants on t:ne EIS. The task force has naa completed the
Scoping Phase of the EIS and is recommending 9 alternatives for further study. The Council
must review the draft Scoping Document, hold a public meeting and make a final Scoping
Decision before proceeding.
A�YANTAGES IF APPRpVED:
The Ayd Mill Road Environmental Impact Statement process will continue. The City will meet
the requirements of the Minnesota Environmental Quality Board regarding review of environ=
mental, physical, economic and social i�oacts of major road projects.
DISADVANTAGES IFAPPROVED'
None.
DISAOVANTAGES IP NOTAPPROVED:
The Ayd Mill Road Environmental Impact Statement process will not proceed to the next ,
phase, again postponing important decisions on what to do in the corridor.
TOTAL AMOUNT OFTRANSACTION S� NA COST/HEVENUE BUDOETED (CIHCLE ON� YES NO
FUNDING SOURCE ACTIVITY NUMBER
FINANCIALINFORMATION:(E%PLAIN) .
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CITY OF SAINT PAUL
Norm Coleman, Ma��or
MEMORANBUM:
DATE:
TO:
FROM:
RE:
January 18, 1995
Mayor Coleman
Saint Paul City Council
Stacy Becker�
DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC WORKS
Stacy M. Becker, Director
600 Ciry Hall Annex Te[ephone: 612-266-6070
Saint Pau[, MN 55102 Facsimile: 612-292-7857
Release of the Ayd Mill Road Scoping Document and Draft Scoping Decision
for Public Comment
BACKGROUND
In 1989, the Saint Paul City Council requested that an Environmental Impact Statement be
conducted to study alternative road configurations in the Ayd Mill Road study azea. In March
1993, the Saint Paui Planning Commission initiated the Ayd Mill Road Environmental Impact
Statement (EIS) and convened the Ayd Mill Road Task Force to advise staff and the
consuitants (Strgaz-Roscoe-Fausch, Inc.) duzing prepazation of the EIS. The 27-member task
force is comprised of representatives from the affected district councils (#8, 9, 11, 13, 14, 15,
16 and 17), affected business associations (Grand Avenue Business Association, Snelling-
Selby Business Association, University LTNITED, Midway Chamber of Commetce and Selby
Area Community Development Corporation), related neighborhood and city-wide groups
(RIP-35E, Bicycle Advisory Board), and appropriate governmental agencies (Metropolitan
Council, Ramsey County and Dakota County). A Planning Commissioner chairs the task
force.
The Ayd Mill Road Task Force has met at least once a month since September 1993. During
that time, it:
1. Identified key issues to be addressed in the EIS, which are:
• traffic capacity, flow and forecasts
• safety and personal security
• regional, neighborhood and property access
• accommodatiori of alternative transportation modes
• open space impacts and aesthetic design
Responsive Services • Quality Facilities • Emp(oyee Pride
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Mayor and Saint Paul City Council
January 18, 1995
Page Two
• natural environmental impacts
• economic unpacts
• project cost effectiveness
2. Identified a set of Project Objectives, against which alternative road configurations
were evaluated.
3. Identified a"universe" of road alternatives for study in the Scoping Phase of the EIS.
4. Eliminated some alternatives from fiuther consideration, based on construction
feasibility.
5. Reviewed preliminary information on right-of-way, environmental, tr�c, etc. impacts,
in addition to general cost/benefit information and relafionship to project objectives,
for those alternatives determined to be feasible to constnzct.
6. Recommended what it considers to be a"reasonable range" of alternatives for further
study in the EIS.
A flow chart of the process is attached.
THE AYD 1VIILL ROAD SCOPING DOCUMENT AND DRAFT SCOPING DECISION
Task Force Recommendation
After extensive review of preliminary information on construction feasibility, travel
forecasting, and the social, environmental, physical and economic impacts of the vazious road
alternatives, the Ayd Mill Road Task Force is recommending that 9 alternatives be studied
further in the Draft EIS. These are explained in detail in the draft document. The 9
altematives aze:
1. No Build
2. Downtown Direct Connection Between I-35E and I-94
3. Transportation System ManagemenUTravel Demand Management
4. Linear Park (removes Ayd Mill Road)
5. Two-Lane City Street with Split Diamond Interchange at 94 (Hybrid Alignment) on
the North and Direct Connection to 35E on the South
6. Four-Lane Expressway with Split Diamond Interchange at 94 (Hybrid Alignment) on
the North and Direct Connection to 35E on the South
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Mayor and Saint Paul City Council
January 18, 1995
Page Three
7. Four-Lane Expressway with Freeway-to-Freeway Interchange at 94 (Raikoad Spur
Alignment) on the North and D'uect Connecrion to 35E on the South
8. Lunited-Access Freeway with Freeway-to-Freeway Interchange at 94 (Fauview
Alignment) on the North and Direct Connection to 35E on the South
9. High Occupancy Vehicle Lanes in Alternarives 5, 6, 7 and 8.
Neither staff nor the Planning Commission has taken a formal position on the task force's
recommendation. Only the task force's recommendation is being circulated for public
discussion at this time.
On January 27, 1995, the Planning Commission wiil be recommending to the Mayor and City
Council that the Ayd Mill Road Seoping Document and Draft Scoping Decision be released
for public comment and that March 2, 1995 be set as the date for a joint Planning
Commission/City Council public meeting on the document.
THE NEXT STEP
The next step is for the City Council to release the document for public comment and set the
public meeting date. A public review schedule is attached for your infornnation. Beriveen
Febntaty i and March 2, staff wili be briefing Planning Commissioners and Councilmembers
on the document and heIping you prepare for the public meeting. Foilowing the 30-day
comment period, the Planning Commission will review the comments received and
recommend to the Mayor and City Council a Final Scoping Decision. The City Council will
then review the public comments and Planning Commission recommendation before making
the Fina1 Scoping Decision.
If this schedule is met, the City Council will adopt the Final Scoping Decision in Apri1 1995,
and the Draft EIS can begin in May 1995.
That the Saint Paul City Council reIease the document entitled, "Ayd Mili Road Scoping
Document and Draft Scoping Decision" for pubtic comment and set March 2, 1995 as the date
for a public meeting on the document.
Attachments
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DRAFT SCHEDIlLE FOR PLANN[NG COMMISS[ON/CITY COUNC[L
REVIEW �F AYD MILL ROAD SCOPING DOCUMENT/DRAFT SCOPING DECISION
)anuary 9, 1995 Distribute Ayd Mill Road Scoping Document and Draft
Scoping Decision (SD/DSD} to Ayd Mi([ Road TasK
Force, Planning Commission, City Council.
January 23, 1995
Task force meeu to endorse SD/DSD and release for
pub(ic comment.
)anuary 27, 1995 Brief Planning Commission; authorize release of
document for public comment. Forward to Mayor,
City Counci(.
February t, 1995 Brief City Council; adopt resolution releasing document
for pubtic comment and setting pub[ic meeting date.
(Assumes document does not have to go to Committee
first. )
February 6, 1995
February 13, i 995
Send SD/DSD to EQB for publication in EQB Monitor,
Saint Pau! Pioneer Press and Distribution List.
Notice of Availability published in EQB Monitor; start
of 30-day comment period.
Eebruary l 5, 1995 Brief Comprehensive Pianning and Economic
Development Committee (Planning Commission} prior
to public meeting. (All Commissioners invited.}
February 1 - March 1,
1995
February 6, 1995
Brief Councilmembers Megard, Harris, Blakey, Thune
prior to pub(ic meeting.
Brief Mayor prior to public meedng.
Meet with Counci( aides to brief them on SD/DSD
prior to pubtic meeting.
March 2, 1995 P(anning Commission and City Counci[ jointly sponsor
pub(ic meeting on_ SD/DSD. Meeting to be he[d in the
neighborhood and include both informal question-and-
answer period and formal testimony.
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March l5, 1995
Comment period ends.
March 15, 1995 Comprehenstve P(anning and Economic Development
Committee of Planning Commission reviews SD/DSD,
Ayd Mifl Road Task Force recommendation and pub(ic
input; makes recammendation to full Commission.
March 22, ] 995 Possible second meeting witf� CPED Committee, if
necessary, to consider (ast-minute submissions of public
comment.
March 24, I995 Ptanning Commission considers SD/DSD, Ayd Mi(1
Road Task Force recommendation and public input;
forwards SD/DSD, afong with AMRTF
recommendation, to Mayor and City Council.
March 27, 1995
Aprit 5, 1995
Apri( 12, 1995
April l9, 1995
Mayor transmiu SD/DSD, with AMRTF and Planning
Commission recommendation, to City Council.
City Council refers SD/DSD to City Operations
Committee.
City Operations Committee considers SD/DSD;
foiwards recommendadon to full City Council.
Ciry Council adopts Final Scoping Decision, inc(uding
alternatives and issues to be studied in Draft EIS.
April 24, 1995 EIS Preparation Notice {including summary of Scoping
Decision) sent to EQB Monitor, Saint Paut Pioneer
Press, Distribution List.
May l, 1995
NOTES:
EIS Preparation Notice published in EQB Monitor.
• Staff is available to attend neighborhood meetings as needed.
January 20, 1995
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DRAFI' FOB REVIEW BY
Ayd Mill Road Task Force
St. Paul Planning Commission
St. Paul City Council
SCOPING DOCUMENT
AND
DRAFT SCOPING DECISION DOCUMENT
AYD MILL ROAD
PREPARED FOR:
� CITY OF ST. PAUL, MINNESOTA
DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC WORKS
DEPARTMENT OF PLANNING & ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
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PREPARED BY:
STRGAR-ROSCOE-FAUSCH, INC.
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The proposed project begins at I-35E in St. Paul on the south and ends at I-94 in
St. Paul on the north. The proposed project is located in parts of the following
Sections:T 28N, R 23W, Sections 3, 4, 10 �nd 11; T 29N, R 23W, Sections 33 and 34;
City of St. Paul, Ramsey County, Minnesota.
January T1, 1995
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r 1. INTRODUCTION
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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' Purpose of Scoping Document ..............................................
Project Description .................................................................
Project Location .....................................................................
' Scoping Study Process - Ayd Mill Road Citizens Task Force
Project Schedule ....................................................................
Responsible Governmental Unit ............................................
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PURPOSE AND NEED FOR PROJECT .........................................
Traffic Congestion ..................................................................
Safety and Personal Security .................................................
Regional, Neighborhood and Property Access ......................
Accommodation of Alternative Transportation Modes ...........
Open Space and Parks ..........................................................
Natural Environmental Impacts ..............................................
Project Objectives ..................................................................
DESCRIPTION OF ALTERNATIVES ..............................................
Alternative 1--No Buiid ..........................................................
Alternative 2--I-35E/I-94 Downtown Connection ...................
Alternative 3—Transportation System ManagemenU
Travel Demand Management ................................................
Aiternative 4--Replace Ayd Mill Road with Linear Park ........
Aiternative 5--Replace Ayd Mill Road with
Residential Development .......................................
Alternative 6--Two-Lane City Street ......................................
Alternative 7--Four-Lane City Street
(Expressway with Indirect Connection to I-94).......
Alternative 8--Expressway with Direct Connection at I-94 ....
Alternative 9--Limited Access Freeway .................................
Alternative 10--High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) Lanes ........
Summary of Alternatives and Sub-Alternatives .....................
CONSTRUCTION FEASIBILITY OF SUB-ALTERNATIVES
Extension Alternatives ...........................................................
I-94 Connection - Sub-Alternatives ........................................
i-35E/I-94 Downtown Connection ..........................................
Task Force Recommendations ..............................................
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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5.
EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVES BASED ON
PROJECT OBJECTIVES ................................................................
Generai Traffic impacts ..........................................................
Enhancements to Alternative Modes of Travel ......................
NoiseImpacts ........................................................................
Contaminated Sites ................................................................
Land Use Plan Compatibility ..................................................
Right-of-Way Acquisition and Relocation ..............................
Parks and Open Space ..........................................................
Recreationai Access ..............................................................
Impacts to Tax Base ...............................................................
Preliminary Cost Estimates ....................................................
Comparative Evaluation of Alternatives Based
on Project Objectives .............................................................
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SOCIAL, ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES ......
Issues to be Addressed in the EIS .........................................
Issues That Will Not Be Addressed in the EIS .......................
Permits and Approvals ...........................................................
DRAFT SCOPING DECISION ..........................................................
Task Force Scoping Recommendation .................................
Alternatives Not Recommended for Further Study ................
Issues of Potentiai Significance ............................................
E�
CERTIFICATION .......................
RGU Certification ..................................................................
Scoping Document Distribution List ......................................
APPENDICES
!y:
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Appendix A- Ayd Mill Road Task Force Roster
Appendix B- Feasibility Analysis of I-94/I-35E Downtown Connection
Appendix C- Travel Forecasting Process
Appendix D - Glossary
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF FIGURES
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Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 4
Figure 5
Figure 6
Figure 7
Figure 8
Figure 9
Figure 10
Figure 11
Figure 12
Figure 13
Figure 14
Figure 15
Figure 16
Figure 17
Figure 18
Figure 19
Figure 20
Figure 21
Figure 22
Figure 23
Possible Ayd Mill Road/I-94 Connections and Extensions ....
Project Area Existing Land Use .............................................
Ayd Miil Road Task Force Scoping Process ..........................
Alternative 2- Possible I-35E Downtown Connection............
Alternative 4- Linear Park Alternative ...................................
Alternative 5 - Residential Development ................................
Cross-Section Aiternatives .....................................................
Interchange Types .................................................................
Possible Ayd Mill Road/I-94 Connections and Extensions ....
Freeway-to-Freeway Connection at Fairview .........................
Freeway-to-Freeway Connection at Pascal ...........................
Diamond Interchange at Pascal .............................................
Freeway-to-Freeway Connection at Railroad Spur ................
Diamond Interchange at Railroad Spur ..................................
Direct Connection at Hamline ................................................
Travel Forecasting Process ...................................................
Generalized Travelshed for No Build and Build Alternatives.
Dakota County Trips ..............................................................
Estimated Origins/Destinations of Ayd Mill Road Users ........
Travel Forecasting Screenline Locations ...............................
North Screenline ....................................................................
Central Screenline .................................................................
South Screenline ....................................................................
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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LIST OF TABLES
Table 1
Table 2
Table 3
Table 4
Tabie 5
Table 6
Table 7
Table 8
Table 9
Table 10
Table 11
Table 12
Table 13
Table 14
Table 15
Table 16
Summary of Alternatives Considered in
Ayd Mill Road Scoping Process .............................................
Construction Feasibility of E�ensions to I-94 Based on
Feasibility Criteria ..................................................................
General Cost Estimates for Ayd Mill Road Extensions
fromSelby to I-94 ...................................................................
Construction Feasibility of Interchange Connections
to I-94 Based on Feasibility Criteria .......................................
General Cost Estimates for Ayd Mill Road Connections
to I-94 .....................................................................................
Construction Feasibility of Sub-Alternatives ..........................
Evaluation Criteria Based on Project Objectives ....................
Central Screenline ADTs by Alternative at
AydMill Road .........................................................................
East/West Street Traffic Volumes ..........................................
Comparative Evaluation of Alternatives 1-5 ...........................
Comparative Evaluation of Alternative 6 ................................
Comparative Evaluation of Alternative 7 ................................
Comparative Evaluation of Alternative 8 ................................
Comparative Evaluation of Alternative 9 ................................
Agency Approvals & Permifs Which May Be Required..........
Ayd Mill Road Task Force Recommendation
for Draft Scoping Decision .....................................................
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INTRODUCTION
AYD MILL ROAD
SCOPING DOCUMENT
�5
Ayd Mill Road is located in the southwestern portion of the City of St. Paul and runs in
a northwesterly direction from I-35E near Jefferson Avenue to the intersection of
Selby Avenue and Pascal Street (see Figure 1). At present there are no direct
connections between Ayd Mill Road and I-35E on the south or I-94 on the north.
Ayd Mill Road was constructed as the Short Line Road between 1962 and 1966 by the
City of St. Paul. It was built to provide a convenient link between I-94 and I-35E and to
keep traffic in the adjacent neighborhoods to a minimum. The St. Paul City Council
renamed the road in 1987 to honor the Ayd family and its descendants.
HISTORY OF AYD MILL ROAD
In 1860, a mill house and the first (and only) grist miii in Reserve Township were built
by John Ayd in what is now the I-35E highway corridor. In 1878, the mill property was
sold at a mortgage foreciosure sale to James J. Hili's Short Line Railroad, which then
laid tracks up the ravine, following the gradual grade of the old mill stream bed.
Because the railroad cut off the water suppiy and the miii's source of power, the mill
property was sold in 1883 and, Ridgewood Lookout Park was built, on the hill crest
north of the mill. The property was divided into building lots in 1887, and a railroad
station called Ridgewood Park was built at the foot of Benhill Road where Victoria
Street crosses the railroad tracks. The Ayd Mill was torn down sometime between
1889 and 1892. The Ridgewood Park Railroad Station was abandoned in 1910. The
mill house and adjacent barn were torn down in 1966 for the construction of I-35E.
A direct connection between I-35E and the south end of Ayd Mili Road was considered
, in the I-35E Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) in the eariy 1980s, but this decision
was postponed by resolution of the St. Paul City Council until I-35E had been
� constructed and a connection to 1-94 on the north had been studied. An Ayd Mill Road
Task Force, comprised of neighborhood representatives, was created in 1987 to assist
city staff in studying traffic and traffic-related issues in the corridor related to Ayd Mill
1 Road. The result of this effort, "Ayd Mili Road Study: Phase I Report," was completed
in 1988. Both the Task Force and the City of St. Paul Planning Commission concluded
that issues in the Ayd Mill Road corridor were serious enough to warrant further study
� in an Environmentai Impact Statement (EIS). The City Council concurred with the Task
Force and the Planning Commission in 1989 that an EIS needed to be done. In 1993,
the City secured funding to begin preparation of the EIS.
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PURPOSE OF SCOPING DOCUMENT
This Scoping Document and the Environmental Impact Statement which follows are
being prepared subject to Minnesota Rules 4410.2000 Subpart 3 B. The Minnesota
Environmental Quality Board (MEQB) approved the format of this Scoping Document
as an alternative to the standard Scoping EAW on October 4, 1994. A 30-day
comment period wili begin when the availability notice for the Scoping Document is
published in the EQB Monitor. The Scoping Document will be circulated to the required
MEQB distribution list and, will be made available to the public for review and
comment. A Scoping Public Meeting will be held during the comment period.
The purpose of a Scoping Document is to provide documentation on the need for the
proposed project, describe the alternatives considered, and identify the potential for
significant social, economic and environmental impacts if the project is constructed.
The Scoping Document is used to reduce the scope and size of an EIS by selecting a
reasonable range of alternatives for detailed study and by identifying those issues that
require detailed study. The Scoping Document also identifies the permits for which
detailed information will need to be developed prior to construction of the project. The
Scoping Document and a Draft Scoping Decision Document are being distributed prior
to the Scoping Public Meeting so that comments on the project issues and alternatives
can be received and used to make a final Scoping Decision. A final scoping decision
will be made by the St. Paul City Council after the Scoping Public Meeting and the
required 30-day comment period.
PROJECT DESCRIPTION
Existing Ayd Mill Road runs within the Short Line Railroad corridor in a northwesterly
direction from where I-35E crosses Jefferson Avenue to the intersection of
Selby Avenue and North Pascal Street. At present, there are no direct connections
(interchanges) between Ayd Mill Road and I-35E on the south or I-94 on the north.
Currently, Ayd Mill Road is a limited-access divided roadway that carries two lanes of
' traffic in each direction. It is approximately 1.6 miles long, and has two-lanes in each
direction with a width of 24 to 26 feet. Ayd Mill Road is accessible at Selby, Pascal,
Ashland/Hamline, Grand, St. Clair, and Jefferson. Ayd Mill Road has a posted speed
' limit of 45 mph and is not a designated truck route. It is currently classified as a minor
arterial in the city's street functional classification system.
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Aiternatives under consideration range from removing Ayd Mill Road and replacing it
with a linear park to reconstruction of Ayd Mill Road as a limited access freeway
connecting I-35E to I-94. All Ayd Mill Road Build alternatives wouid follow the existing
alignment between Jefferson and Selby. Five possible alignments for the northern
extension to I-94 were considered: (1) along the Soo Line railroad tracks connecting to
I-94 at Fairview; (2) along Pascal, (3) across Selby just east of the Selby Bridge over
3
' (Draft for review 1/11/95)
q5 -qq
the railroad and connecting to i-94 at Pascal (hybrid alignment); (4) along the Soo Line
railroad spur straight north to I-94, and (5) along Hamline (see Figure 1). Most
alternatives include a direct connection to I-35E on the south and a direct or indirect
connection to I-94 on the north. The Hamline connection and the Hamline and Pascal
extensions shown in Figure 1 were evaluated during the scoping process and
determined not to be feasible options. Therefore, it is recommended that no further
study of these alignments be done in the Draft EIS.
PROJECT LOCATION
The proposed project is located in the western portion of St. Paul between the
Mississippi River and downtown St. Paul. The primary study area is bounded on the
north by University Avenue, on the east by Victoria Street, on the south by Randoiph
Avenue, and on the west by Fairview Avenue (south of Grand Avenue) and
Cretin Avenue (north of Grand Avenue). Figure 1 illustrates the primary study area.
Ayd Miil Road is located in a natural ravine that runs in a northwesteriy direction from
where I-35E crosses Jefferson Avenue to the intersection of Selby Avenue and Pasca�
Street. The Soo Line Railroad is located in the same ravine adjacent to Ayd Mill Road
on the east and north side of the road. The railroad continues northwesteriy and
crosses I-94 near Fairview.
The project is located in a fully developed area of St. Paul characterized primarily by
low-density housing ranging in age from 50 to 100 years old. Some higher-density
housing is located along the more heavily traveled streets. Commercial development is
located in the Snelling/Seiby area, along Snelling north of Selby, along University north
of I-94 and along Grand Avenue. Industrial development is concentrated in the area
north of Ayd Mill Road, east of Pascal and west of Hamline. There are two colleges
located in the project area, Macalester College at Snelling and Grand, and Concordia
Coilege at Hamline and Marshall (see Figure 2).
AYD MILL ROAD TASK FORCE - SCOPING PROCESS
The purpose of the scoping process is to evaluate a full range of alternatives; select
those alternatives that should be studied in detail in the Draft EIS; and identify social,
economic and environmental issues that are significant enough to require detailed
study in the Draft EIS.
In order to accomplish this, the City of St. Paul appointed a citzens advisory task force
to work with City staff and the consultants. The Ayd Mill Road Task Force consists of
29 members representing affected neighborhood organizations, business groups, and
other organizations and agencies with an interest in the project (see Appendix A for
task force roster). The study process used to identify and evaluate alternatives is
4
(Draft for review 1111l95)
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illustrated in Figure 3. The Task Force met at least monthly during the scoping
process. Task Force members and City staff also met with District Councils and other
organizations represented on the Task Force to share information on the project and
gain broad public input. The Ayd Mill Road Task Force identified 10 alternatives and
numerous sub-alternatives for consideration in the Ayd Mill Road Scoping Study. In
addition, the Task Force agreed on several project objectives which were used to
evaluate the scoping alternatives. A Design Subcommittee was formed to review
design concepts, and a Forecasting Subcommittee was formed to review travel
forecasts. The evaluation of alternatives for scoping was compieted in two phases: (1)
an initial investigation was undertaken to determine the constructability of the Build
alternatives; and (2) the remaining alternatives and sub-alternatives were evaluated
based on the project objectives. Chapter 3 of this document contains a more detailed
description of alternatives and the screening process used to evaluate and select
alternatives for detailed study in the Draft EIS is discussed in Chapters 4 and 5.
The Task Force selected a recommended range of alternatives for detailed study in
meetings on November 21, 1994 and December 19, 1994. The Scoping Document and
task force recommendations were forwarded to the City Planning Commission for
review on January 9, 1995. The Planning Commission recommended approval for
purposes of public comment and to the City Council on January 27, 1995. On February
1, 1995, the City Council approved the Scoping Document and authorized its release
for public comment.
PROJECT SCHEDULE
Following is a tentative schedule for compietion of the Ayd Mill Road Environmental
Review Process:
February 13, 1995 Release of Scoping Document/Draft Scoping Decision
Document for public comment; beginning the 30-day comment
period.
March 2, 1995
March 15, 1995
April, 1995
May, 1995
November, 1996
Public Scoping Meeting.
Scoping comment period ends.
City Council adopts Final Scoping Decision; Final Scoping
Decision Document distributed.
Publication of EIS preparation notice.
Release of Draft EIS for public comment; start of Draft EIS
comment period.
6
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
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December, 1996
December, 1996
February, 1997
December, 1997
January,1998
January, 1998
Public Hearing on Draft EIS.
Draft EIS comment period ends.
Selection of Preferred Alternative by St. Paul City Councii.
Release of Final EIS; start of Final EIS comment period.
Final EIS comment period ends.
City Council determines adequacy of the Final EIS.
RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENTAL UNIT
The City of St. Paul Department of Public Works, is the designated Responsible
Governmental Unit (RGU) for the purposes of this Scoping Document and for the
Environmental Impact Statement. The contact person for the RGU is:
Contact Person: Michael C. Klassen
Title: Project Manager - Ayd Mill Road
Agency: Department of Public Works
City of St. Paul
Address: 800 City Hall Annex
25 West 4th Street
St. Paul, MN 55101
Phone: (612) 266-6209
FAX (612) 298-4559
8
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
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PURPOSE AND NEED FOR PROJECT
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This section of the Scoping Document describes the purpose and need for
improvements to Ayd Mill Road, and the issues and concerns of the City, businesses
and residents of this area of St. Paul. In one of its early meetings, the Ayd Mill Road
Task Force identified a number of issues and concerns related to the proposed project.
These issues and concerns were grouped into eight categories:
• Traffic capacity, flow and forecasts
, • Safety and personal security
• Regional, neighborhood and property access
. Accommodation of alternative transportation modes
, • Open space impacts and aesthetic design
• Natural environmental impacts
' . Economic impacts
• Project cost effectiveness
' TRAFFIC CONGESTION
, The primary purpose of the Ayd Mill Road project is to reduce vehicular congestion and
pedestrian safety problems throughout the southwestern portion of St. Paul. The area
of concern includes roughly that part of St. Paul south of University Avenue, north of
1 1-35E west of Victoria Avenue, and east of Fairview Avenue. Traffic congestion is
particularly severe on Sneiling Avenue and Lexington Parkway, which both parallel Ayd
Mill Road. Ayd Mill Road currently has excess capacity and has the potential to divert
� some trips from these congested north-south city streets. In 1990, between Marshall
and I-94, Sneiling had an average daily traffic (ADT) volume of 48,500 and Lexington
, had an ADT of 31,450 compared to a maximum ADT of 11,850 on Ayd Mill Road. By
reducing traffic on Snelling and Lexington, air quality may be improved at "hot spoY'
intersections and the potential for pedestrian/automobile conflicts can be reduced.
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Traffic congestion at the south end of Ayd Mill Road is also a major concern. Most of
the traffic from the southern terminus of Ayd Mill Road seeking access to I-35E follows
a route of Jefferson to Lexington to Randolph to I-35E. Traffic volumes in this area
have increased dramatically in recent years, with the intersections of
Lexington/Randoiph and Lexington/Jefferson experiencing serious congestion
problems. The LexingtonlRandolph intersection has a level of service E and accident
rates of 1.93 to 2.73, two to three times the generally acceptable rate of 1.00.
Residents on or near south Lexington have expressed support for the direct connection
of Ayd Mill Road to I-35E to alleviate the congestion on Lexington.
9
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At the northern terminus of Ayd Mill Road, residents have expressed concern about the
possible effects of a direct Ayd Mill Road/I-35E connection on traffic volumes in their
neighborhoods, as well as the impact on overail neighborhood liveability and character
if no connection is made on the north end.
The accommodation of truck traffic is also a probiem in the project area. Within the
project area, north/south truck traffic is restricted to Snelling, and east/west truck traffic
is restricted to I-94 and University Avenue. Trucks are not allowed on Ayd Mill Road,
Lexington Parkway and I-35E.
SAFETY AND PERSONAL SECURITY
Concerns have been raised about the speed of traffic both on Ayd Mill Road and on
neighborhood streets, as weii as the lack of enforcement of posted speed limits.
Congestion at intersections such as Lexington and Randolph has resulted in
unacceptable accident rates. On Ayd Mill Road, the condition of the roadbed, lack of
shoulders and cross over accesses also have safety implications. The surrounding
neighborhoods have questioned the possible impact of increased traffic on crime and
driving while intoxicated (DWI) accidents. More tra�c on local streets may also
increase the potential for accidents involving pedestrians and bicycles.
REGIONAL, NEIGHBORHOOD AND PROPERTY ACCESS
Ayd Mili Road was originally planned as a direct connection between I-35E and I-94 to
keep regionai or "through" trips off local neighborhood streets. The lack of direct
connections on both the north and south ends of Ayd Mill Road has limited its
attractiveness as a regional route. All trips using Ayd Mili Road today must use local
streets on both the north end and the south end. The streets most affected on the
north end are Snelling, Selby and Hamline. The streets most affected on the south end
are Lexington, Jefferson and Randolph.
Bridges across Ayd Mill Road and the Short Line Railroad provide neighborhood
connections across the natural ravine. Access between neighborhoods north of Selby
is also limited by the railroads.
Property access from busy neighborhood streets such as Lexington and Snelling, is
hampered by the high levels of congestion on these streets.
10
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
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ACCOMMODATION OF ALTERNATIVE TRANSPORTATION MODES
The project area has a lack of bikeway facilities for both recreational use and
commuting. There is an existing on-street bikeway along Summit Avenue and an off-
street trail along I-35E in the southeast corner of the project area. On-street bikeway
signing is pianned for Marshali and Jefferson. Ail of these facilities run in an easUwest
direction; there are no northlsouth connecting links. A bikeway along Ayd Mill Road
could serve this function.
Pedestrian facilities are limited to sidewaiks along neighborhood streets and the off-
' street trail along I-35E in the southeast corner of the project area. There is a need for
off-street pedestrian trails in the project area.
, Transit services and high occupancy vehicie (HOV) facilities are limited in the project
area. Transit services focus on connecting the area to downtown St. Paul, providing
good east/west service. There is no north/south transit service provided east of
' Snelling within the project area. There are currently no HOV facilities serving the
project area, except an HOV bypass on the westbound ramp to I-94 at Snelling.
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OPEN SPACE AND PARKS
There is a lack of open space and park facilities in parts of the project area. The
existing parks are small areas with facilities and services limited by space. The open
space/park located at Hamline and Ashland is bisected by the access ramp between
Hamline and Ayd Mill Road making it nearly impossible to develop any recreational
facilities on the site. Preservation of existing open space and parks is very important to
the neighborhoods in the project area.
ENVIRONMENTALIMPACTS
Residents along Lexington and Snelling are concerned about noise levels caused by
increasing traffic on these streets. The intersections at Snelling and Marshall, Snelling
and University, and Lexington and University have also been identified as potential
probiem areas for air quality.
There are also problems with runoff and drainage related specifically to Ayd Mill Road.
Ayd Mill Road was constructed in a ravine with steep side slopes at a time when
requirements for treating drainage and runoff were less restrictive than today. Other
problems related to the slopes, such as vibration, have also been a concern in recent
years since the construction of high-density housing adjacent to Ayd Mill Road between
St. Clair and Jefferson (Wilder complex).
11
' (Draft for review 1/11/95)
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PROJECT OBJECTIVES
The following project objectives were developed and adopted by the Ayd Mill Road
Task Force on March 21, 1994. During both the scoping process and the development
of the Environmental Impact Statement, these objectives will be used to evaluate
alternatives and assess their potential for significant social, economic and
environmental impacts.
Transportation Objectives
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Minimize congestion and provide convenient, safe and efficient movement of
traffic throughout the study area.
Minimize the impacts of traffic on residential areas.
Provide direct, convenient access to area businesses, pubiic buildings and
educational facilities.
Encourage the use of alternative modes of transportation (transit, bicycle,
pedestrian) within and through the area.
Improve safety for all modes of transportation.
Correct geometric, structural and pavement deficiencies in the existing
transportation facilities.
Provide capacity and flexibility to meet future transportation needs.
Envi ronmental Ob jectives
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Reduce air poilution.
Reduce energy consumption.
Minimize noise impacts.
Minimize impacts on hisforic, archaeofogical and cultural resources.
Minimize vibration impacts on adjacent buildings.
Correct drainage problems including erosion of slopes.
12
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
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Land Use, Open Space and Aesthetic Objectives
1. Complement existing comprehensive/land use plans the Metropolitan Council
Regional Blueprint, St. Paul Plan, Neighborhood Plans, Smali Area Plans).
2. Minimize right-of-way acquisition and relocation of residences and businesses.
3. Maximize recreational opportunities and open space in the study area.
4. Enhance bicycle and pedestrian facilities and bicycle/pedestrian access to
recreational facilities.
5. Enhance the aesthetic quality of transportation facilities in the study area.
Economic and Cost Effectiveness Objectives
1. Minimize impact on local tax base (commercial and residential).
2. Support economic development plans (small area plans, etc.).
3. Enhance the economic viability of neighborhood commercial districts (Snelling,
Selby, etc.).
4. Enhance the economic viability of residential neighborhoods.
5. Develop roadway designs that are cost effective and within the limits of financial
resources.
6. Develop roadway designs that have reasonable operation and maintenance
costs.
13
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
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• Transit service would be expanded within the study area. The TSMlTDM alternative
would assume construction of LRT within the I-94 corridor and a feeder bus system
servicing the Ayd Mill Road study area and travelshed. Transit improvements would
be consistent with regional policies.
• Construction of more park-and-ride lots within the Ayd Mill Road travelshed.
HOV and Transit Incentives and Marketing:
• Targeted marketing for transit, HOV, flextime, telecommuting, etc., to businesses
and residents within the Ayd Mill Road study area and travelshed.
• Implementation of incentive pians for transit, HOV, flextime, telecommuting, etc.
HOV Facilities:
• The existing ramps between Ayd Mill Road and I-35E would be reopened for HOV
traffic only.
• Ramps from Randolph to I-35E and from Snelling and Lexington to I-94 would be
metered with HOV bypass lanes.
• Implementation of planned regional HOV facilities.
Traffic Management:
• A coordinated signal system with bus preference would be imp�emented throughout
the study area.
• Traii blazing (directional signing) for regional traffic and truck traffic would be
implemented, including improved signing for the I-35E/I-94 indirect connections
downtown and signing to direct through traffic from I-35E to I-494 and
Highway 52/Lafayette Bridge (Highway 52).
• Where feasible, use of toll road and congestion pricing strategies consistent with
regional policies.
• Implementation of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) strategies on the
regional system consistent with regional policies.
17
� (Draft for review 1/11/95)
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Parking:
• Parking on collector and arterial streets within the study area would be restricted
during peak hours.
• Continuation of existing HOV parking subsidies in downtown St. Paul and downtown
Minneapolis.
Any of the TSM/TDM strategies, including toll roads, may be incorporated into all other
appropriate alternatives. Ail alternatives assume no increases above inflation in gas or
parking prices and no significant changes in suburban land use ordinances.
ALTERNATIVE 4- REPLACE AYD MILL ROAD WITH LINEAR PARK
This alternative would reuse the existing Ayd Miii Road corridor as a linear park as
shown in Figure 5. The linear park would include separate bicycling and walking trails,
additional landscaping, and possibly picnicking and gardening areas. The primary
recreational uses of the corridor would be biking, walking, in-line skating and access to
locaf destinations. Secondary uses would be cross-country skiing and bike commuting.
The narrow width of the corridor would prevent development of other types of park
uses, except one small area which would be suitable for a playing field or a chiidren's
play area. Continuous fencing would separate the park from the existing railroad.
Existing cross-street bridges would be retained. Pedestrian/bicycle access wouid be
provided at Selby, Hamline, Summit, Grand, St. Clair, and Jefferson. Parking and
vehicle access could be provided at Hamline/Ashland, Grand, St. Clair and Jefferson.
ALTERNATIVE 5- REPLACE AYD MILL WITH RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT
An investigation was conducted to determine the potentiai for use of the existing Ayd
Mill Road corridor as residential property rather than as a roadway (see Figure 6). This
investigation determined that the roadway would need to be retained as a two-lane
street to provide access to any proposed parcels due to the topography of the corridor.
With retention of both the existing railroad and a two-lane city street, most parcels
would not be suitable for residential development due to size or topographic
constraints. In addition, the location in close proximity to an active railroad reduces the
marketability of the land. The cross-street bridges would be retained in this alternative.
18
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
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ALTERNATIVE 6- TWO-LANE CIN STREET
in this alternative, existing Ayd Mill Road would be reconstructed as a two-lane city
street (one lane in each direction) with a landscaped median, and extended to I-94 via
either Pascal or Hamline. On-street bike lanes and an off-road pedestrian/bicycle trail
would also be provided. The proposed typical cross-section for these alternatives is
shown in Figure 7. The posted speed limit would be 35 mph, and intersection controls
(stop signs or traffic signals) would be provided at access points. Under this
alternative, the existing ramps at Jefferson would be removed, and access to Hamline
would be provided onfy on the east side of Ayd Mili Road. On the south, this
aiternative includes the option of connecting or not connecting Ayd Mill Road directly to
i-35E. Ayd Miil Road would not be directly connected to I-94 on the north. Four sub-
aiternative alignments were identified for the extension of this alternative to I-94:
. E�ension along Pascal
• Extension along Hybrid Route (Combination of Pascal and railroad spur alignment)
• Extension along Hamline
• One-way pair (using Pascal southbound and the raiiroad spur northbound)
ALTERNATIVE 7- FOUR-LANE EXPRESSWAY WITH INDIRECT CONNECTION TO
I-94
ln this afternative, Ayd Mill Road would be reconstructed as a four-lane expressway
with a posted speed limit of 40 mph. The cross-section would include two lanes in each
direction, a landscaped median where possible, on-street bike lanes, and an off-road
pedestrian/bicycle trail (see Figure 7). A direct connection would be provided between
I-35E and Ayd Mill Road at the south end of the corridor. Ayd Mill Road would connect
to the existing frontage roads at 1-94 which then provide access to and from I-94 via
existing interchanges at Sneiling, Hamline and �exington or with a spiit diamond
interchange design concept (see Figure 8). All existing local access points would be
retained. In most cases, these access points would be controiled by stop signs or
traffic signals. Four extension alignments were identified for consideration in the
scoping process:
• E�ension along Pascal
• Extension along Hybrid Route (Combination of Pascal and railroad spur alignment)
• Extension along Hamline
• E�ension along Railroad spur
In addition, a one-way pair (using Pascal southbound and the railroad spur alignment
northbound) with two lanes in each direction was evaluated.
21
� (Draft for review 1/11/95)
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ALTERNATIVE 8- EXPRESSWAY WITH DIRECT CONNECTION AT I-94
In this alternative, Ayd Mill Road would be reconstructed as a four-lane expressway
with a posted speed of 45 mph. The cross-section for this alternative (see Figure 7) is
very similar to Alternative 7 except that the lanes are slightly wider to safely
accommodate the higher speed. The cross-section would include two lanes in each
direction, a landscaped median where possible, on-street bike lanes, and an off-road
pedestrian/bicycle traii. A direct connection would be provided between I-35E and Ayd
Mill Road at the south end of the corridor and between I-94 and Ayd Mill Road on the
north end. Ail existing local access points would be retained. In most cases, these
access points would be controlled by stop signs or tra�c signals. The following
extension alignments and interchange design concepts (see Figures 8 and 9) were
identified for consideration in the scoping process:
• Extension along the railroad with freeway-to-freeway interchange at I-94 to/from the
west at Fairview.
• Extension along Pascal with diamond or freeway-to-freeway interchange at I-94.
. 6ctension along Hybrid Alignment with diamond or freeway-to-freeway interchange
at I-94.
• Extension along Railroad Spur with diamond or freeway-to-freeway interchange at
I-94.
. Extension along Hamline with diamond or freeway-to-freeway interchange at I-94
ALTERNATIVE 9- LIMITED ACCESS FREEWAY
In this alternative, Ayd Mill Road would be reconstructed as a limited access freeway
with two lanes in each direction and grade-separated interchanges at ail access points.
The posted speed limit would be 45 mph. The cross-section for this alternative is
shown in Figure 7 and would include two lanes in each direction, a concrete barrier
median, and an off-road pedestrian/bicycle trail separated from the roadway by a
concrete barrier. A direct connection would be provided between I-35E and Ayd Miil
Road at the south end of the corridor and between I-94 and Ayd Mill Road on the north
end. Grade-separated interchange access would be provided at Selby and Grand only,
or at Selby, Grand and St. Clair. Five extension alignments and interchange design
concepts (see Figure 9) were identified for consideration in the scoping process.
• Extension along the railroad with freeway-to-freeway interchange at I-94 to/from
west at Fairview.
• Extension along Pascal with freeway-to-freeway interchange at I-94.
• Extension along Hybrid Alignment with freeway-to-freeway interchange at I-94.
• Extension along Railroad Spur with freeway-to-freeway interchange at I-94.
• Extension along Hamline with freeway-to-freeway interchange at I-94.
24
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
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ALTERNATIVE 10 - HIGH OCCUPANCY VEHICLE (HOV) LANES
Finally, several options were identified that would provide preferential treatment for
High Occupancy Vehicles (buses, carpools and vanpools) through the provision of
exclusive lanes on Ayd Miil Road. These options also assume that direct HOV ramps or
HOV bypass lanes would be provided with interchange connections at I-35E on the
south and I-94 on the north. The HOV alternatives could be used with any of the sub-
alternatives for Alternatives 7, 8 and 9. Three HOV options were identified for
consideration in the scoping process.
• Four general purpose traffic lanes (two in each direction) south of Selby plus a
reversible HOV lane along the entire length of the corridor and extension to I-94.
• Convert one Iane in each direction to HOV (diamond lane) and extend oniy the
diamond lanes to I-94.
• Two-lane roadway for HOVs only extended to I-94.
SUMMARY OF ALTERNATIVES AND SUB-ALTERNATIVES
Table 1 provides a one-page summary of the above alternatives and sub-alternatives.
The evaluation of these alternatives and sub-alternatives based on construction
feasibility and the project objectives established by the Task Force is documented in
Chapters 4 and 5.
26
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
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4.
CONSTRUCTION FEASIBILITY OF SUB- ALTERNATIVES
The evaluation of alternatives for scoping was completed in two phases: First, an initial
investigation was undertaken to determine the construction feasibility of the "extension
alignmenY' and "interchange connection" sub-alternatives. Second, the remaining
alternatives and sub-alternatives were evaluated based on the project objectives. This
chapter documents the evaluation of alternatives regarding construction feasibility.
Chapter 5 describes the evaluation of alternatives based on the project objectives.
The evaluation of construction feasibility focused on three areas with potentially severe
engineering or construction constraints:
• The EXTENSION of Ayd Mill Road from its existing location north to I-94 (see
Figure 9),
• The CONNECTION (fhe intercfiange or infersection design) of Ayd Mil( Road at f-94
(see Figure 9), and
. The I-35E/I-94 downtown connection.
EXTENSION ALTERNATIVES
The construction feasibility analysis investigated four sub-alternatives for the e�ension
of Ayd Mill Road to I-94: (1) along the railroad tracks to Fairview (Fairview extension),
(2) along Pascal (Pascal extension), (3) along the raiiroad spur east of Pascal
(Railroad Spur extension), and (4) along Hamline (Hamline extension). In addition, a
Hybrid extension was investigated that uses a combination of the railroad spur and
Pascal extensions. These extension sub-alternatives are shown in Figure 9. Design
concept layouts were prepared for potential problem areas. These concept layouts and
related information were reviewed in detail by the Design Subcommittee of the Task
Force.
The following feasibility criteria were used to evaluate the extension sub-alternatives.
1. Keep critical through-streets open and continuous:
o Marshail
o Selby
o Snelling
o Hamline
28 —
(Draft for review 1l11/95)
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Retain or replace access at Selby and/or Marshall
Retain new Selby Bridge
4. Retain major community facilities:
o Concordia Coliege
o Parks, churches, schools, historic structures
o NSP substation
5. Impacts to Snelling/Marshall intersection
a5'qq
An evaluation of the extension alignment sub-alternatives based on the above
feasibility criteria is provided in Tabie 2. Extension sub-alternatives were determined to
be "feasibie" if all five criteria were met, "not feasible" if one or more of the criteria
could not be met, and "questionabie" if all criteria could be met but oniy with significant
construction costs or impacts. Following is a brief discussion of the results of this
analysis:
1. Fairview Extension - The Fairview extension would not close any critical
through-streets and wouid retain the new Selby Bridge. However, access could
be provided only to and from the south at Selby. In addition, a second bridge
would be required south of the Snelling/Marshall intersection, with significant
right-of-way, visual and/or safety impacts. An assessment conducted by the
consultant and City staff determined the feasibility of the Fairview extension to
be "questionable."
2. Pascal Extension - The Pascal extension is not feasible because it would require
removal and reconstruction of the new Selby Bridge. Also, access could be
provided only to southbound Ayd Mil{ ftoad at Selby.
3.
�
Hybrid Extension - This extension alternative meets aii criteria and, therefore, is
considered feasible to construct.
Railroad Spur Extension - This extension alternative meets all criteria and
therefore, is considered feasible to construct.
5. Hamline Extension - The Hamiine extension is not feasible because Hamline
would no longer be a through-street. This extension would also have significant
impacts on the Concordia College campus.
29
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
q� -��
TABLE 2
CONSTRUCTION FEASIBILITY OF EXTENSIONS TO I-94 BASED ON
FEASIBILITY CRITERIA
Keep Critical Streets
Open
Retain or Replace
Access at Selby and/or
Marshall
Retain Major
Community Facilities
Retain Selby Bridge
(mpacts to Snelfing/
Marshall Intersection
■ Feasible
❑ Questionable
— Not Feasibie
Fairview
=xtensior
■
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Pascal Hybrid RR Spur Hamline
Extension Extension Extension Extension
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(Draft for review 1/11/95)
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Table 3 includes rough cost estimates for construction of the Ayd Mill Road extensions
to I-94 which were determined to be feasible or questionable. These cost estimates are
for construction of the extensions oniy and do not include the cost of right-of-way
acquisition or of the interchange/intersection connections at I-94.
,
TABLE 3
, GENERAL COST ESTIMATES FOR AYD MILL ROAD EXTENSIONS
FROM SELBY TO I-94 ($ MILLIONS)"
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Expressway Design
Fairview
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$6.4
$6.4
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— Not feasible.
Pascal
Extension
I-94 CONNECTION SUB-ALTERNATIVES
Hybrid
E�ension
$16.6
$11.0
RR Spur
E�ension
$14.4
$ 6.2
Hamline
E�ension
Four locations were investigated for connecting Ayd Miii Road to I-94 with an
interchange or intersection: Fairview, Pascal, the railroad spur east of Pascai, and
Hamline (see Figure 9). Four types of interchanges or intersections were considered at
each of these locations: freeway-to-freeway interchange, diamond interchange, spiit-
diamond interchange, and intersection with the existing frontage road (see Figure 8).
Design concept layouts were developed for each of the alternatives, except at-grade
intersection connections with the existing frontage road, assuming Mn/DOT
reconstruction plans for I-94 includes LRT. These concept drawings were reviewed by
the Design Sub-Committee and refined based on sub-committee comments. The
following feasibility criteria were used to evaluate the connection or interchange design
sub-alternatives.
1. Retain or replace criticai access at I-94:
o Snelling
o Lexington
2. Retain or replace local street bridges over I-94:
o Pascal
o Hamline
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Retain continuous I-94 frontage roads
Extent of reconstruction at I-94
31
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
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Each interchange option was evaluated based on these four feasibility criteria and
general cost of construction. An interchange design sub-alternative was considered
"feasible" if it met all criteria, "not feasibie" if one or more criteria couid not be met, and
"questionable" if ineeting all of the criteria would result in significant construction costs
or impacts. The findings of this evafuafion are summarized befow.
1. Fairview Connection - Due to the angle of approach to I-94, the lack of frontage
roads, the location of the railroad and the existing three-level Fairview/railroad/
I-94 crossing, only a freeway-to-freeway connection from northbound Ayd Mill
road to westbound I-94 and eastbound I-94 to southbound Ayd Mill Road would
be feasible at the Fairview location (see Figure 10).
2. Pascal Connection - The feasibility of a freeway-to-freeway connection from
northbound Ayd Mill Road to westbound I-94 and from eastbound I-94 to
southbound Ayd Mill Road is questionable due to the extent of reconstruction
required at I-94 (see Figure 11). In order to avoid removal of the I-94 frontage
roads in the Pascal area and both the Hamline and the Pascal bridges over I-94,
the connection from northbound Ayd Mill Road to westbound I-94 would have to
go under i-94 (approximately 60-70 feet down). A diamond interchange at the
Pascal location is not feasible because it would require removal of the east
interchange ramps at Snelling and the west interchange ramps at Lexington.
Split diamond and frontage road connections would both be feasible at the
Pascal location (see Figure 12).
3. Railroad Spur Connection - The feasibility of a freeway-to-freeway connection
from northbound Ayd Mill Road to westbound I-94 and from eastbound I-94 to
southbound Ayd Mill Road is questionable due to the extent of reconstruction
required at I-94 (see Figure 13). In order to avoid removal of the I-94 frontage
roads in the Pascal area and the Pascal bridge over I-94, the connection from
northbound Ayd Mill Road to westbound I-94 would have to go under I-94
(approximately 60-70 feet down). A diamond interchange connection at the
railroad spur location would not be feasible because it would require removal of
both the Pascal and Hamline I-94 bridges. Split diamond and frontage road
connections would both be feasible at the railroad spur location (see Figure 14).
4. Hamline Connection - A freeway-to-freeway connection at the Hamline location
would not be feasible because it would require removal of the Hamline and
Pascal bridges over I-94, and the i-94 frontage roads would no longer be
continuous. A diamond interchange connection at the Hamline location would
not be feasible because it wouid require removal of the Pascal/1-94 bridge. Spiit
diamond and frontage road connections would both be feasible at the Hamline
location (see Figure 15).
The results of the above evaluation of construction feasibility are summarized in
Table 4.
32
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
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CITY OF ST. PAUL
SRF FREEWAY TO FREEWAY CONNECTION
AT PASCAL
AYD MILL ROAD SCOPING DOCUMENT
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CITY OF ST. PAUL FIGURE
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AYD MILL ROAD SCOPING DOCUMENT vss
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CITY OF ST. PAUL
S T�L' FREEWAYTO FREEWAY CONNECTION
1\I' AT RAILROAD SPUR
AYD MILL ROAD SCOPING DOCUMENT
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CONSTRUCTION FEASIBILITY OF INTERCHANGE CONNECTIONS TO I-94
BASED ON FEASIBILITY CRITERIA
At Fairview At Pascal At RR Snur At Hamline
Direct Connection
Freeway-to-Freewayinterchange
Diamond Interchange
Indirect Connection
Split Diamond Interchange
Frontage Road Connection
(no new interchange)
■ Feasible
❑ Questionable
-- Not Feasible
■ ❑ ❑
-- �
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■
■
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Rough cost estimates for construction of the Ayd Mill Road/I-94 connections
determined to be feasible or questionable are included in Tabie 5. These cost
estimates are for construction of the connection only and do not include the cost of
right-of-way acquisition or the extension between Ayd Mill Road and I-94.
TABLE 5
GENERAL COST ESTIMATES FOR AYD MILL ROAD CONNECTIONS
TO I-94 ($ MILLIONS)
Direct Connection
Freeway-to-Freeway
Interchange
Diamond Interchange
Indirect Connection
Split Diamond Interchange
Frontage Road Connection
* No estimate because
-- Not feasible.
At Fairview At Pascal At RR Sour At Hamline
$3.6
�
$16.6
$2.5
$0.6
extension was
$16.4 --
$4.0 *
$1.6 *
ied to be not feasit
39
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
! ��
l-35E/l-94 DOWNTOWN CONNECTION
An analysis was done to determine if there was a feasible way to construct a direct
connection between northbound I-35E and westbound I-94, and between eastbound
I-94 and southbound I-35E. Numerous options were investigated before an alternative
was found that appears to be constructable. These options are described in
Appendix B. The option carried forward for further evaluation was described in
Chapter 3.
There are still several unresolved issues regarding construction feasibility of this option
for an I-35E/I-94 downtown connection. These include construction cost, required
design variances from the Federal Flighway Administration (FHWA) and the Minnesota
Department of Transportation (MNDOT), and impacts on nearby properties including
the Minnesota History Center. These issues are discussed in Appendix B and will be
explored in further detail in the Draft EIS.
TASK FORCE RECOMMENDATIONS
Based on review of design concept drawings, discussion of the information presented
in this chapter, and recommendations from the Design Sub-Committee, the Ayd Mill
Road Task Force recommended that:
1. Sub-alternatives using the Pascal and Hamline alignment for the expressway
and freeway alternatives (Alternatives 7, 8 and 9) be eliminated from further
analysis.
2. All interchange connection options identified as not feasible to construct be �
eliminated from further analysis.
3. All sub-alternatives considered questionable or feasible be carried forward for
further evaluation based on project objectives. Chapter 5 summarizes the next
phase of evaluation.
Based on the technical analyses and the Task Force recommendation, all altematives
shown in Table 6 as questionable or feasible were carried forward for further evaluation
based on project objectives. Chapter 5 summarized the next phase of the evaluation.
'
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40
(Draft for review 1/11/95) �
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TABLE 6
CONSTRUCTION FEASIBILITY OF SUB-ALTERNATIVES
ALTERNATIVE
1. No Build
2. I-35E/I-94 Downtown
Connection
3. Transportation System
Management/Travel
Demand Management
4. Linear Park
5. Residentiai Development
6. Two-Lane City Street
• Two Lanes
• One-way Pair
7. Expressway with Indirect
Connection
a. Intersection with
frontage road
b. Spiit diamond
interchange
c. One-way pair
8. Expressway with Direct
Connection
a. Diamond interchange
b. Freeway to freeway
9. Limited Access Freeway
10. HOV Aiternatives
• Reversible
• Diamond Lanes
• HOV roadway (2-lane)
■ Feasible
❑ Questionable
-- Not Feasible
U
No e�ension or connection
See Appendix B
No extension or connection
No extension or connection
No extension or connection
❑ ■ ■
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41
❑ ❑
❑ ❑
■
■ ■
■
(Draft for review 1/11/95)
1 1�
5. EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVES BASED ON
PROJECT OBJECTIVES
The purpose of this chapter is to document the potential impacts of alternatives based
on the project objectives established by the Ayd Mill Road Task Force at the beginning
of the scoping process. These project objectives are summarized in Table 7, along
with measures of performance suitable for a preliminary screening exercise. !t should
be noted that the scoping process is a preliminary screening of alternatives to identify a
reasonable range of alternatives for the project area. This range of alternatives is
studied in much greater detail during preparation of the Draft EIS. In addition, specific
issues are identified that will be addressed in detail during the Draft EIS phase of the
project.
The following project objectives were addressed in the scoping process:
• General traffic impacts;
• Changes in access;
. Enhancements for transit,
. Bicycles and pedestrians;
• Number of potentially contaminated sites;
. Plan compatibility;
• Property acquisition;
• Open space/parkland impacts;
. Loss of tax base; and
• General capital costs.
These impacts are described in the following paragraphs. Issues not addressed in
detail at this stage in the scoping process, but wiN be addressed during preparation of
the Draft EIS include: traffic concerns at specific intersections; safety; air quality; noise;
historic/cultural resources; vibration; drainage/erosion; visual/aesthetic; support of
economic vitality; and operation and maintenance cost.
GENERAL TRAFFIC IMPACTS
The evaluation of tra�c impacts for this project is based on travel forecasts for the year
2015, using the 2015 No Build alternative as a base condition. That is, the No Build
alternative represents tra�c conditions that would occur with expected population and
employment growth but without any transportation system improvements other than
routine maintenance and transit service changes. The methodology used to forecast
future travel behavior and trip distribution is illustrated in Figure 16 and described in
Appendix C of this report.
42
(Draft for review 1/11195)
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TABLE T
EVALUATION CRITERIA BASED ON PROJECT OBJECTIVES
Proiect Obiectives/Evaluation Criteria Performance Measures
Transoortation
Traffic Impacts
Access to:
Businesses,
Public Buildings/
Educational Facilities
Safety
Enhancement of:
Transit
Bicycle
Pedestrian
' Environmental
Air Quality
Energy Consumption
' Noise
HistoriGCultural Resources
Vibration
, Drainage/Erosion
Potentiaily Contaminated Sites
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Land Use. Open Space. and Aesthetic
Plan Compatibility
Acquisition:
CommerciaUlndustrial
Residential
Open Space/Park Impacts
Access to Recreational Facilities
(including bike/pedestrian access)
Visual/Aesthetic
Economic
Loss of Tax Base
Support of Economic Viability:
Commercial/Industrial
Residential
Capital Costs
Operation/Maintenance Costs
Changes in traffic volume on Snelling, Hamline,
Lexington, Ayd Mili Road, and East/West Streets
Changes to and from Ayd Mill Road or I-35E
Design issue, to be addressed in DEIS
Identify changes
Add bikeways, No change, Lose bikeways
Add facilities, No change, Lose facilities
To be determined in DEIS
To be determined in DEIS
Increase, Minimal effect, Decrease
To be determined in DEIS
Design issue, to be addressed in DEIS
Design issue, to be addressed in DEIS
Number of sites potentially affected by construction
Supports plans, Conflicts with plans
Number of parcels
Number of dwelling units
Add, No impact, Lose facility (identify)
Improve, No effect, Lose Access
To be determined in DEIS
Gross Tax $ lost (due to right-of-way acquisition)
Improve, Minimai effect, Worse
Improve, Minimal effect, Worse
$
High, Medium, Low
43
11
................................................q�.:.�q.............f �
`; TRIP ; :
'-' GENERATtOlV.. .
Estimates of Fu�ure,.
travel by Zone
Mn/DOT, Met Coune+!
............... .r. ......................
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DISTRIBU7lON
: Estimates of
one to Zone 7rips . ,
°=Met Councit
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MODE AVAtCABfLiTY
ANDTRAVEGTIMES E
CNOfCE
TRAVELTIMES TRIPASSIGNMENT :
BY ROUTE° Pkojected Use of .
TranspoRation
S�� ystem Elements '
............... ...................... Mn/DOT, Met Co�ncil
,._ . _ , ��-�; a
CONGESTION AND
LEVELOFSERVICE MULTIPCE'
ITERATIONS
TRAVEL FORECASTS"
CIT'Y OF ST. PAUL
SRF TRAVEL FORECASTING PROCESS
AYD MSI,L ROAD SCOPING DOCUMENT
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Trip Origins and Destinations
One concern expressed by the Task Force is the potential increase in "through" traffic on
neighborhood streets if Ayd Miil Road is connected to freeways on both the north and
south ends. The regionai travel forecasting model was used to identify the "travelshed"
(the area from which trips are attracted) for Ayd Mill Road and to estimate the number of
local, city and regional trips occurring on Ayd Miii Road. The future year No Build
travelshed for Ayd Mill Road is shown in Figure 17 along with the expected travel shed for
the build alternatives. Based on this comparison, it does not appear that Ayd Niill Road wili
draw additional trips east and west of the existing travel shed in 2015. However, the
travelshed does expand north to i-694 and further south into Dakota County.
Further analysis indicates that fewer than 1 percent of the trips generated in all of Dakota
County involves Ayd Miil Road (see Figure 18). However, Ayd Mill Road does serve a
significant number of through trips (that is, trips that neither begin nor end in St. Paul); and
the four-lane and freeway alternatives clearly increase through trips along Ayd Mili Road
(see Figure 19) more rapidly than total vehicle trips. Still, under the No Build alternative,
approximately 70 percent of the p.m. peak hour trips have one or both ends within the
study area. Ninety percent have one or both ends within St. Paul. The highest share of
through trips would occur with the freeway alternative along the Fairview extension
alignment. In this case, thsough trips would increase fsom about 10 percent (1995} to
about 20 percent (2015) of the p.m. peak hour traffic.
Average Daily Tra�c on Ayd Mill Road
Future year (2015) travel forecasts were prepared for each of the alternatives being
considered in the scoping process. The same assumptions regarding regional population
and employment growth are used for each forecast. In addition, the same regional
highway/transit network (except for changes to each alternative on Ayd Mill Road) is used
for each forecast. This consistency is necessary to ensure that changes in traffic volumes
or traffic distribution are the direct result of differences in the configuration of the
alternatives under consideration. (See Appendix C for more information on the travel
forecasting process.) Average Daily Traffic (ADT) volumes for the Ayd Mill Road
alternatives are provided in Table 8.
Impacts on North-South Streets
Three points or screenlines were selected for comparison of traffic forecasts (see
Figure 20). The "north screenline" is located between Marshall Avenue and I-94. The
"central screenline" is located between St. Clair and Grand Avenues; and the "south
screenline" is located between Randoiph and Jefferson Avenues. Three locations rather
than one were used to compare traffic volumes because changes in access to/from Ayd
Mill Road at the north and south ends of the corridor can cause significant changes in the
volumes on short segments of both parallel and east-west streets. This is particulariy true
for the north segment of Snelling Avenue and the south segment of Lexington.
45
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AT CENTRAL SCREENLINE
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The 2015 ADT is shown in Figures 21 - 23. On the north end (see Figure 21), all
alternatives except the 4-35ElI-94 Downtown Connection reduce traffic on Sne44ing; a!I
except the two-lane and indirect connection aiternatives reduce traffic on Hamline; and all
of the alternatives except the Linear Park and the two-lane options reduce traffic on
Lexington.
At the Central Screenline (see Figure 22), all of the alternatives except the Linear Park
and the two-lane aiternatives reduce trafFic on Snelling, Hamline and Lexington.
Traffic patterns on Snelling and Hamline are not significantly affected at the south end of
the corridor, except that the Linear Park and, in the case of Snelling, the two-lane options
slightly increase tra�c on these streets. The traffic on Lexington is much more volatile in
the south end of the corridor (see Figure 23). Still, all alternatives decrease the traffic on
Lexington at the south end.
Impacts on East-West Streets
A comparison of traffic changes on east-west streets is provided in Table 9. Changes
' range from -10,000 to +3,000 ADT. These changes are primarily related to changes in
access or an increase/decrease in the number of people attempting to use Ayd Mill Road.
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The No Build and TSMlTDM alternatives would not change current access to businesses,
pubiic buildings and educationai facilities in the area, except to the extent that increased
traffic affects access. The I-35E/I-94 Downtown Connection alternative would affect
access to some buildings downtown by removing a section of Main Street adjacent to the
Labor Center building; however, access between I-35E and I-94 would improve. The
Linear Park alternative would eliminate access to and from Ayd Miil Road because Ayd Mill
Road would no longer be a through-street.
Although the quality of access to businesses, public buildings and educational facilities in
the area may be reduced as a result of the elimination of lanes on Ayd Mill Road, all of the
two-lane alternatives would retain the existing number of accesses serving businesses,
pubiic buildings and educational facilities in the area.
The Fairview Alignment with a Freeway Connection alternative would have a minimal
effect on access to businesses in the area. The Hybrid Alignment with a Freeway
Connection, Hybrid Alignment with a Split Diamond Connection, Railroad Spur Alignment
with a Freeway Connection, and Railroad Spur Alignment with a Split Diamond Connection
alternatives would all improve access to the proposed Midway Marketplace development.
51
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The four-lane alternatives with freeway connections may affect access to Concordia
College due to removal of the Hamline access. Each of these alternatives would include
access at either Selby or Marshall. The split diamond (expressway) alternatives would
retain access at Hamline.
ENHANCEMENTS TO ALTERNATIVE MODES OF TRAVEL
7he No Build and 1�5E/l-94 Downtown Connection alternatives would not change existing
transit services or bicycle and pedestrian facilities in the area. The TSM/TDM alternative
would enhance transit services, while making no changes to bicycle and pedestrian
facilifies. The Linear Park and Residential Deve(opment alternatives would nof change
transit services, but would add bicycle and pedestrian facilities within the current Ayd Mill
Road corridor.
None of the two-lane alternatives wouid change transit services in the area except through
the implementation of TSMlTDM strategies. Al! of these alternatives would enhance
bicycle and pedestrian facilities in the area by adding bicycle and pedestrian facilities
along the Ayd Mill Road corridor.
Any of the four-lane alternatives carried forvvard into the Draft EIS could enhance transit
services with the addition of HOV lanes and TSM/TDM activities. Bicycle and pedestrian
facilities in the area would be enhanced with all of the four-lane alternatives, due to the
addition of bicycle and pedestrian facilities along Ayd Mill Road.
NOISE IMPACTS
Noise levels caused by traffic are affected by traffic volumes, tra�c speed, truck volumes,
topographic conditions, naturai and man-made barriers and distance from the road. In
general, noise levels increase when traffic and/or truck volumes increase and when the
distance between the road and the noise receptor (for example, a house) decreases.
However, it is a general rule that changes in noise levels cannot be perceived by the
human ear unless the change is greater than three decibels. Traffic volumes must
approximately double to increase noise levels by three decibels. Based on expected traffic
volumes only, it is not clear if noise levels will change significantly in most locations in the
corridor. However, those alternatives using a new corridor (particularly the Fairview
alignment) have the potential for significant increases in noise levels. Conversely,
alternatives that are fully or partially grade-separated (freeway design) have the most
opportunity for providing effective noise mitigation. This issue will be addressed in detail
through noise modeling during preparation of the Draft EIS.
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CONTAMINATED SITES
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A preliminary investigation of potentially contaminated sites in the Ayd Mill Road area
identified a number of possible sites, particularly in the area of the proposed extensions
and connections for the four-lane aitematives.
No known potentially contaminated sites wouid be affected by the No Build, TSM/TDM,
Linear Park and Residentia! Development alternatives. The Residential Development
alternative could encounter potentially contaminated sites not known at this time. No
known potentially contaminated sites wouid be affected by the two-lane alternatives using
the Hamline alignment. Five known sites could be affected using the Pascal alignment.
On the Fairview alignment, both the two-lane and four-lane options could affeet up to six
contaminated sites. On the Hybrid alignment, the two-lane options could affect up to
12 known sites, and the four-lane options could affect up to 14 sites. On the Railroad Spur
alignment, the two-lane options could affect up to seven sites and the four-lane options
could affect up to 10 known sites.
LAND USE PLAN COMPATIBILITY
' Neighborhood and citywide plans for the project area were reviewed to determine
compatability with local plans. None of the plans propose a specific course of action for
Ayd Mill Road other than stating that no interstate connections should be made untii an
, EIS has been completed. The goals, objectives and policies in the plans that could be
affected by changes to Ayd Mill Road can be summarized into the following nine points:
' • Maintain and preserve residential areas.
• Improve edges of residential areas.
• Mitigate traffic, noise and air quality impacts on houses adjacent to arterials and
, collectors.
• Increase safety at intersections, particularly Sneiling/Marshall, Snelling/I-94 and
Snelling/University.
' • Discourage use of iocal streets for through traffic.
• Enhance and upgrade neighborhood commercial areas.
' • Preserve and enhance parks.
• Add bicycle and pedestrian facilities.
• Add green buffers (along Ayd Mill Road).
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Aiternatives were judged to be compatible if they did not conflict with a majority of these
points, even if they did little to implement any of them or conflicted with some. Alternatives
were judged to be not compatible when there was a conflict with a majority of the points,
even when these alternatives may contribute to the implementation of other points.
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TF�e No Buifd alternative would be compatible wifh local plans because it does not conflict
with any of the points, even though it does nothing to impiement any of them. The No
Build alternative was used as the base or standard against which the other alternatives
were compared. The I-35E/I-94 downtown connection, TSMITDM and Residential
Development alternatives wouid also be compatible with small area plans.
The Linear Park alternative would be compatible because this alternative wouid (1)
contribute to area parks and open space, (2) add bicycie and pedestrian facilities, (3) add
a green buffer, (4) contribute to the preservation and maintenance of the area along Ayd
Mill Road, and (5) improve the edges of these residential areas. However, the Linear Park
altemative would (1) increase traffic and noise, and diminish air quality at residences
adjacent to streets with increased traffic; (2) not contribute to the maintenance and
preservation of these areas; (3) reduce safety at intersections; and (4) resuit in the
diversion of fhrough fra�c fo nearby local sfreets.
None of the two-lane alternatives would be compatible with small area plans because of
increased traffic on Snelling, Hamline and Lexington. These alternatives would (1)
increase tra�c and noise, and diminish air quality at adjacent residences; (2) not
contribute to the maintenance and preservation of these areas; (3) reduce safety at
intersections; and (4) result in the diversion of through traffic to nearby local streets.
These alternatives would, however, contribute to area parks and open space, and add
bicycle and pedestrian facilities.
The Freeway Fairview alternative would not be compatible with local plans because the
construction of the Ayd Mill Road extension through a residential neighborhood would (1)
require the significant acquisition of residential units and divide the neighborhood,
affecting the mainfenance and preservation of homes in the area and at the edges of the
residential area; (2) increase noise and diminish air quality at adjacent residences; (3)
negatively impact commercial development in the Snelling/Marshall area; and (4) require
partial acquisition of a neighborhood park. It would, however, (1) mitigate traffic, noise and
air quality impacts on houses adjacent to Snelling, Hamline and Lexington; (2) increase
safety at key intersections; (3) discourage use of local streets for through traffic; (4) add
park space (at Hamline/Ashland); and (5) add bicycle and pedestrian facilities.
The Hybrid and Railroad Spur alignments with freeway and split diamond connections
would be compatible with local plans. in comparison to the No Build alternative, these
alternatives would have the following positive impacts by decreasing Yraffic on Snelling,
Hamline and Lexington: (1) mitigate traffic, noise and air quality impacts on adjacent
residences; (2) contribute to the maintenance and preservation of these residential areas;
(3) increase safety at key intersections; (4) discourage the use of local streets for through
traffic; and (5) add bicycle and pedestrian facilities.
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RIGHT-OF-WAY ACQUISITION AND RELOCATION
All alternatives, except No Buiid and TSM(CDM, are likely to require right-of-way
acquisition. A general estimate of potential right-of-way requirements is provided in
Tables 10-14. These preliminary estimates include properties needed for construction of
the e�ensions and connections, and reconstruction of the access points along existing
Ayd Mill Road. Right-of-way acquisition estimates will be refined in the Draft EIS after
additional design concept development work is done.
No commercial/industrial or residential land acquisition would be required for the No Build,
TSM/TDM, Linear Park and Residential Development alternatives. In addition, the Linear
Park and Residential Development alternatives could be accomplished with minimal or no
right-of-way acquisition. The I-35E/i-94 Downtown Connection alternative would require
the acquisition of eight to 12 commercial parce{s in or near downtown St. Paul.
All of the four-lane aiternatives and most of the two-lane options would require the
acquisition of both commerciaiiindustrial and residential properties. Tables 10 - 14 shows
the number (range) of commercial/industriai parceis and residential units that would be
acquired with each four-lane alternative.
PARKS AND OPEN SPACE
The No Build, I-35E/I-94 Downtown Connection and TSM/TDM aiternatives would not
impact open space and parks in the area. The Linear Park allernative wouid add park and
open space to the area. The Residential Development alternative wouid replace the park
at Hamiine/Ashland and other open space along the corridor with residential development.
The construction of the extension for the Fairview Alignment with a Freeway Connection
alternative would require the partial acquisition of a park (0.5-1.5 acres), while the
elimination of the access at Hamline would add land to the adjacent park. The Hybrid
Alignment with a Freeway Connection and Railroad Spur Alignment with a Freeway
Connection would add land to the adjacent park as a result of the eiimination of the access
at Hamline. The Hybrid Alignment with a split diamond connection and Railroad Spur
Alignment with a split diamond connection alternatives would not impact any open space
or parkland uniess the Hamline access were eliminated, in which case land would be
added to the adjacent park.
RECREATIONAL ACCESS
' The No Build, I-35E/i-94 Downtown Connection and TSM/TDM alternatives would not
change access to recreational facilities in the area. The Linear Park aiternative would
improve bicycle and pedestrian access to residential facilities, while decreasing
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automobile access by removing Ayd Mill Road as a through-street. The Residential
Development alYernative would improve bicycle and pedestrian access to recreational
facilities if bicycle and pedestrian facilities were added to the corridor as part of the site
plan.
Although the quality of vehicular access to recreational facilities in the area may be
reduced by eliminating lanes on Ayd Mill Road, all of the two-lane alternatives woufd refain
the existing number of access points serving recreational facilities in the area. Bicycle and
pedestrian access to recreational facilities in the area would improve as a result of adding
bicycle and pedestrian facilities along Ayd Miil Road.
Vehicular, bicycle and pedestrian access to recreational facilities in the area would
improve under all of the four-lane altematives as a result of the upgrading of Ayd Mill
Road, and the addition of bicycle and pedestrian facilities along Ayd Mill Road.
IMPACTS TO TAX BASE
impacts on tax base are included in Tables 10 - 14. No tax base would be lost as a result
of the No Build, TSM(fDM, Linear Park and Residential Development alternatives. Tax
base would be added with the Residential Development alternative. The I-35E/I-94
Downtown Connection alternative would result in the loss of $100,000 to $200,000 per
year in tax revenues.
No tax base would be lost as a result of the Two-Lane Existing Ayd Mill Road and Two-
Lane with Hamline Connection alternatives. The Two-Lane with Pascal Connection
a(femative wouid result in the loss of $50,000 to $100,000 per year in tax revenues and
Two-Lane with One-Way Pair Connection alternative would result in the loss of $100,000
to $150,000 per year in tax revenues.
All of the four-lane alternatives would result in the loss of tax base from the acquisition of
commercial/industrial and residential properties. The Fairview Alignment with a Freeway
Connection, Hybrid Alignment with a Split Diamond Connection and Railroad Spur
Alignment with a Split Diamond Connection alternatives would resuit in the loss of
$200,000-$300,000 per year in tax revenues. The Hybrid Alignment with a Freeway
Connection and Railroad Spur Alignment with a Freeway Connection alternatives would
result in the loss of $300,000-$400,000 per year in tax revenues.
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PRELIMINARY COST ESTiMATES
Very preliminary construction costs were developed for purposes of evaluation during the
scoping phase. Totai estimated costs, including right-of-way acquisition, are shown in
Tables 10 - 14. Construction costs for the No Build and TSM/TDM aiternatives would be
less than $5 miilion. The Linear Park alternative would cost $2 to $6 million. Estimated
cost for the Residentiai Development alternative is not known at this time. Total cost for
the I-35ElI-94 Downtown Connection alternative, including right-of-way acquisition, would
be $20 to $30 million.
' Totai capital costs (including right-of-way acquisition) are estimated at $2 to $6 million for
the Two-Lane Existing Ayd Mill Road and Two-Lane with Hamiine Connection alternatives.
These costs are for removal of the existing road and construction of a new two-lane, local
' street (parkway), with bicycle/pedestrian traii and landscaping. The Two-Lane with Pascal
Connection alternative would cost $10 to $14 milfion, and the Two-Lane with One-Way
Pair Connection alternative would cost $12 to $16 million. The Two-Lane with Freeway
0 Connection at Fairview would cost $30 to $40 million. The Two-Lane with Spiit-Diamond
Connection alternatives would cost $25 to $30 million.
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Total capital costs for the Fairview Alignment with a Freeway Connection, Hybrid
Alignment with a Sp1it Diamond Connection and Railroad Spur A{ignment with a Split
Diamond Connection alternatives would be in the $30 to $40 million range each. Total
capital costs for the Hybrid Alignment with a Freeway Connection and Railroad Spur
Alignment with a Freeway Connection alternatives would be in the $50 to $60 miilion
range each.
COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVES BASED ON PROJECT
OBJECTIVES
, Tables 10 - 14 summarize the pros and cons of each alternative included in the scoping
evaluation based on the project objectives. The following conclusions/recommendations
were drawn in regard to each of the alternatives:
' 1. No Build (see Table 10) - This alternative must be carried forward into the EIS.
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2. 1-35E/I-94 Downtown Connection (see Table 101 - Aithough this alternative
appears to be constructable, the economic feasibility of this aiternative is
questionable. Both the dollar costs and acquisition impacts are extremely high
in relation to the traffic benefits, particularly to the Ayd Mill Road area.
3. TSM/TDM Alternative (see Table 10) - This alternative must be carried forward
into the EIS. Some of the TSMlfDM strategies included in this alternative could
be incorporated into oiher alternatives as weil.
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TABLE 10
COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVES 1-5
(NO CONSTRUCTION ON AYD MILL ROAD)
Altematives Pros Cons Estimated
Cost'
1. No Build To Be Cartied Fonvard
2. i-35ElI-94 8-12 commercial/industriai parceis $20-30 Miliion
Downlown acquired
Connection $100,��0 to $200,000/ ear tax loss
3. 7SM/TDM To 6e Cartied Fonvard
4. Linear Park Traffic Decreases: Traffic Increases: $2-6 Million
Snef(ing (North) -7,000 ADT Hamline (Centrai) +3,000 ADT
Lexington (South) -2,0�0 ADT Lexington (North) +7,p00 ADT
Jefferson (East) -2,000 ADT Lexington (Central) +7,000 ADT
Jefferson (West) -6,000 ADT Randolph (West) +2,000 ADT
Seiby (West) -11,000 ADT St. Clair (East) +3,000 ADT
Park added at Hamiine/Ashland St. Clair (West) +3,000 ADT
Corridor converted to park Loss of access to neighborhood
Bike/pedestrian trail added commercial areas
Loss of access to Concordia Coli e
5. Residential Loss of park at Hamline/Ashiand
Development Loss of other open space
$0 to 5 million total cost
Loss ofaccessto Concordia College
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'Estimated costs are gross estimates of totai project costs including right-of-way acquisition and are subject to
change.
Note: Traffic changes were generaily considered not significant if traffic volumes increased or decreased less than
2,000 ADT.
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4. Linear Park isee Table 10) - This aitemative wouid shift 7,000 vehicies a day
from Snelling and Ayd Mill Road to Lexington, and result in a loss of access to
neighborhood commercial areas and Concordia Coilege now provided by Ayd
Miil Road. This alternative provides a number of park and recreation benefits
and adds both bicycie and pedestrian trails.
5. Residential Development (see Table 10) - Based on the analysis of this
alternative by city staff, it is not feasible to construct housing in the roadway
area adjacent to the railroad. This alternative could result in the loss of park
and open space in the neighborhood and the loss of access to Concordia
College now provided by the Hamline access to Ayd Mill Road.
6. Two-Lane Alternatives (see Table 11) - The two-lane aiternatives without
freeway connections would shift some traffic from Snelling on the north to
Lexington and/or Hamiine. These alternatives would also add a
bicycle/pedestrian trail. The sub-aiternatives of connecting Ayd Mill Road to
Pascai and constructing one-way streets without an I-35E connection
significantly increase costs without providing increased benefits. The Hamline
connection sub-alternative is essentially the same as the main alternative (no
new north end connection), except that the primary traffic movement would be to
Hamfine instead of Selby. This alternative would require the reconstruction of
the Hamline access to Ayd Mill Road.
7he two-lane alternatives with connections to t-35E and I-94 would reduce
traffic on Snelling on the north and Lexington on the south. The right-of-way
impacts and costs of implementing these alternatives would be extremely high
for the benefits received. There could also be capacity prob4ems on Ayd Mi{4
Road.
7A. Expresswav with Connection to Frontape Road (see Table 12) - This afternative
is similar to the Expressway with Split-Diamond Connection described below
under Alternative 7B).
76. Expresswav with a Split-Diamond Connection to I-94 (see Table 12) - The
Hybrid Alignment and the Railroad Spur Alignment with a Split-Diamond
Connection have the same benefits regarding traffic movement throughout the
study area. The main difference is that the Hybrid Alignment lines up with
Pascal to the north, providing more direct access to Midway Marketplace and
University Avenue. This alternative would draw traffic north of I-94 over to
Pascal, where the Railroad Spur alternative would split the traffic between
Hamline and Pascal. Since both alternatives increase traffic on Hamline north
of Marshail, the Hybrid Alignment alternative would be more effective reducing
congestion on Hamline.
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TABLE 11
COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVE 6
TWO-LANE OPTIONS
Altematives Pros Cons Es[imated
Cost'
6A Traffic Decreases: Traffic Increases: $2 to 6
Two tane tVo Snelling (North) -3,000 ADT Le�cington (North} +Z,pOQ ADT miiiion
EMension Bike/pedestrian trail added Lexington (Central) +4,000 ADT
6A-1 Traffic Decreases: Tra�c Increases: �10 to $20
Two-Lane Pascal Snelling (North) -6,000 ADT ��xington (North) +Z,0�0 ADT million
Bike/pedes[rian trail added Lexington (Centra� +4,004 ADT
10 to 15 commercialfindustrial
parcels acquired
5 to 10 residentiat units acquired
$50,000 to $100,000/year tax loss
6A-2 Traffic Decreases: Traffic Increases: $2 to $6
Two Lane Hamline Snelling (North) -6,000 ADT Hamiine (North) +4,000 ADT million
Bikelpedestrian lrai! addeq Lexington (North) +2,000 ADT
Lexington (Central) +4,000 ADT
6A-3 Tra�c Decreases; Traffic Increases: $10 to $20
Two Lane One- Sneliing (North) -6,000 ADT Lexington (North) +z,000 ADT million
Way Pair Bike/pedestrian trail addetl Lexington (Central) +4,000 ADT
15 to 20 commercialfindustrial
parcels acquired
5 to 10 residentia! units acquired
$100,000 to $200,000lyear tax loss
6B-1 Traffic Decreases: 30 to 35 commercial/industrial $30 to $40
Two-Lane Freeway Snelling (North) -4,000 ADT parcels acquired million
Connection at Snelling(South) -2,000 ADT 140 to 190 residential units acquired
Fairview Lexington (SOUth) -8,000 ADT $200,000 to $300,OOO/year tax loss
Bikelpedestrian trail added Partial park acquisition for NW
e�ension
6B-2 Traffic Decreases: Tra�c Increases: $25 to $35
Two-Lane with Snelling (NoRh) -2,000 ADT Lexington (Central) +2,000 ADT million
Split- Diamond Lexington (South) -8,000 ADT 25 to 3D commerciallindustrial
Hybrid Alignme�t Bike/pedes[rian trail added parcels acquired
30 to 80 residential units acquired
$200,000 to $300,000/ ear tax loss
663 Traffic Decreases: Traffic Increases: $25 to $35
Two-Lane with Snelling (North) -2,000 ADT Lexington (Centrai) +4,000 ADT million
Splif-Diamond RR _ Lexington (South) -8,000 ADT 20 to 25 commercialfindustrial
Spur Alignment Bike/pedestrian trail added parcels acquired
20 to 70 residential units acquired
$Z00,000 fo $300,OOO/year tax foss
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subject to change.
Note: Traffic changes were generally considered not significant if traffic volumes increased or decreased
less than 2,000 ADT.
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TABLE 12
COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVE 7
(EXPRESSWAY OPTIONS W{TH INDIRECT CONNECT40N)
Altematives Pros Cons Estimated
Cost'
7A-1 Traffic Decreases: Traffic t�creases: $30 to 40
Intersection with Sneliing (North) -8,000 ADT Hamline (North) +2,000 ADT million
Frontage Road - Lexington (North) -2,000 ADT 25 to 30 commercial/industrial
Hybrid Lexington (Centtal) -2,000 ADT parcels acquired
Lexington (South) -4,000 ADT 30 to 80 residential units acquired
Improved access to Midway $200,000 to $300,000/year tax loss
Maricetplace
Bike/ edestrian trail added
7A-2 Traffic Decreases: Traffic �ncreases: $30 to 40
Intersection With Snelling (North) -8,000 ADT Hamline (North) +2,000 ADT million
Frontage Road - Lexington (North) -2,000 ADT 20 to 25 commercial/industrial
Raifroad Spur Lexington (Central) -2,000 ADT parcels acquired
Lexington (South) -4,000 ADT 20 to 70 residential units acquired
Bike/ edestrian traii added $200,00� to $300,000/ ear tax loss
7B-1 Traffic Decreases: Traffic lncreases: $30 to 40
Split-Diamond Sneliing (North) -8,000 ADT Hamline (North) +2,000 ADT miliion
Hybrid Lexington (North) -2,000 ADT 25 to 30 commercial/industrial
Lexington (Centrai) -2,000 ADT parcels acquired
Lexington (South) -4,000 ADT 30 to 80 residential units acquired
improved access to Midway $200,000 to $300,00�/year tax Ioss
Marketplace
Bike/ edestrian traii added
76-2 Traffic Decreases: Tra�c lncreases: $30 to 40
Split-Diamond Snelling (North) -8,000 ADT Hamline (North) +2,000 ADT million
Raiiroad Spur Lexington (North) -2,000 ADT 20 to 25 commercial/industrial
Lexington (Central) -2,000 ADT parcels acquired
Lexington (South) -4,000 ADT 20 to 70 residential units acquired
Bike/pedestrian trail added $200,000 to $300,000/year tax loss
`Estimated costs are gross estimates of total projecf costs including right-of-way acquisition and are
, subject to change.
Note: Tra�c changes were generally considered not significant if traffic volumes increased or decreased
less than 2,000 ADT.
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8A/9A. Fairview Aliqnment with Freewav Connection to I-94 (see Tables 13 and 14) - '
These aitematives would reduce traffic on Snelling, Hamiine and Lexington,
compared to the No Build altemative. It would also offer the most benefit from a '
regional traffic standpoint. Ffowever, right-of-way acquisition for this alternative
would require the purchase of more residential u�its than any of the other
alternatives, and they wouid bisect a residential neighborhood. �
8B/9B. Hybrid Aliqnment with Freewav Connection to I-94 (see Tables 13 and 14) -
These alternatives and the Railroad Spur Alignment with a Freeway Connection
are essentiaily the same alternative with the same benefits. The Hybrid
Alignment connects to the i-94 further to the west.
8C/9C. Railroad Sour Alianment with Freewav Connection to I-94 (see Tables 13
and 14 - These alternatives and the Hybrid Alignment with a Freeway
Connection are essentialfy the same alternative with the same benefits. The
railroad spur alignment connects to the freeway further to the east.
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TABLE 13
COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVE 8
(EXPRESSWAY OPTIONS WITH DIRECT CONNECTION)
Altematives Pros Cons Estimated
Cost'
8A Tra�c Decreases: Tra�c Increases: $30 to 40
Fairview Sneliing (North) -4,000 ADT Jefferson (East) +3,000 ADT miliion
(freeway-to- Snelling (Centrai) -2,000 ADT St. Clair (West) +4,000 ADT
freeway Hamline (North) -5,000 ADT Grand (East) +2,000 ADT
interchange) Hamline (Centrai) -2,000 ADT Selby (East) +3,000 ADT
Lexington (North) -4,000 ADT 30 to 35 commerciallindustriai
Lexington (Central) -2,000 ADT parcels acquired
Lexington (South) -6,000 ADT 140 to 190 residential units acquired
St. Clair (East) -2,000 ADT $200,000 to $300,000/year tax loss
St. Ciair (Vllest) -2,000 ADT Partial park acquisition
Park added at HamlinelAshland For NW extensions (0.5 to 1.5 acre)
Bike/ edestrian traii added
86 Traffic Decreases: 30 to 50 commercial/industrial $50 to 60
Hybrid Snelling (North) -5,000 ADT parcels acquired million
(freeway-to- Snelling (Centrat) -2,0�0 ADT 100 to 150 residential units acquired
freeway Hamiine (North) -4,000 ADT $300,000 to $400,000/year tax loss
interchange) Hamiine (Central) -2,000 ADT
Lexington (North) -4,000 ADT
Lexington (Centra� -2,000 AD7
Lexington (South) -6,000 ADT
Improved access to Midway
Marketplace
Park added at Hamline/Ashland
Bike/ edestrian trail added
SC Traffic Decreases: 30 to 35 commerciai/industrial $50 to 60
Railroad Spur Snelling (North) -5,000 ADT parceis acquired miilion
(freeway-to- Sneiling (Central) -2,000 ADT 60 to 110 residential units acquired
freeway Hamline (North) -4,000 ADT $300,000 to $400,000/year tax loss
interchange) Hamline (Centrai) -2,000 ADT
Lexington (North) -4,000 ADT
Lexi�gton (Central) -2,000 ADT
Lexington (South) -6,000 ADT
Improved access to Midway
Marketplace
Park added at Ham{ine/AsfiVand
Bike/pedestrian trail added
`Estimated costs are gross estimates of totai project costs including right-of-way acquisition and are
subject to change.
Note: Tra�c changes were generally considered not significant if traffic volumes increased or decreased
less than 2,000 ADT.
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COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVE 9
(FREEWAY OPTIONS)
Aitematives Pros Cons Estimated
Cost'
9A Tra�c Decreases: Tra�c Increases: $30 to 40
Freeway Fai�view Snelling (North) -4,000 ADT Jefferson (East) +3,000 ADT million
Snelling (Central) -2,000 ADT St. Clair (Vllest) +4,000 ADT
Hamline (North) -5,00� ADT Grand (East) +z,000 ADT
Hamline (Central) -2,00� ADT Selby (East) +3,000 ADT
Lexington (North) -4,000 ADT 30 to 35 commercial/industriai
Lexington (Central) -2,000 ADT parceis acquired
Lexington (South) -6,000 ADT 140 to 190 residential unifs acquired
St. Clair (East) -2,000 ADT $200,000 to $300,00�/year tax loss
St. Clair (West) -2,000 ADT Partial park acquisition for
Park added at Hamline/Ashland NW e�Rensions (0.5 to 1.5 acre)
Bike/ edestrian trail added
96 Tra�c Decreases: 30 to 50 commerciai/industrial $50 to 60 �
Freeway Hybrid Snelling (North) -5,000 ADT parcels acquired miilion
Sneliing (Central) -2,000 ADT 100 to 150 residentia! units acquired
Hamline (NOrth) -4,000 ADT $300,000 to $400,000/year tax Ioss
Hamline (Central) -2,000 ADT
Lexington (North) -4,000 ADT
Lexington (Central) -2,000 ADT
Lexington (South) -6,000 ADT
tmproved access to Midway
Marketpiace
Park added at HamlineJAshland
Bike/ edestrian trail added
9C Traffic Decreases: 30 to 35 commercial/industrial $50 to 60
Freeway Raiiroad Snelling (North) -5,000 ADT parcels acquired miilion
Spur Snelling (Central) -2,000 ADT 60 to 110 residential units acquired
Hamline (North) -4,00� ADT $300,000 to $400,000/year Yax loss
Hamline (Central) -2,000 ADT
Lexington (North) -4,000 ADT
Lexington (Centra!) -2,000 ADT
Lexington (South) -6,000 ADT
Improved access to Midway
Marketpface
Park added at HamiinelAshland
Bike/pedestrian trail added
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subject to change.
Note: Tra�c changes were generaily considered not significant if tra�c volumes increased or decreased
less than 2,000 AD7.
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, 6. SOCIAL, ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES
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The purpose of this chapter is to describe potential sociai, economic and environmental
' impacts of the alternatives being considered for Ayd Mill Road. Significant impacts to be
studied in the EIS and necessary permit applications are identified. The EIS wiil also
address the relationship between local short-term uses of the environment, and the
� maintenance and enhancement of long-term productivity, as well as the
irreversible/irretrievabie commitments of resources. The foliowing areas of potential
concern have been reviewed; the need to incorporate them into the EIS is addressed in
, the remainder of this chapter.
• Air quality impacts
' • Bikeways and pedestrians
• Coastai zones (not applicable)
' • Construction impacts
• Contaminated sites
• Critical Areas impacts (not applicabie)
' • Cultural resources
. Economic impacts
• Endangered species
' . Energy impacts
• Erosion control
. Excess materials
, . Farmiands (not applicable)
. Fish and wildlife (not applicable)
• Floodplains (not applicable)
� • Groundwater, geology and earthborne vibration
• Handicapped access
' • Land use and joint development impacts
• Noise
• Parklands, recreational 4(f)/6(fl lands
' . Right-of-way acquisition and relocation
• Social impacts
• Soils, materials, foundations
, • Stream and water body modification (not applicable)
• Traffic impacts
. Transit impacts
, . Vegetation
• Visual impacts
' • Water quality
• Wetlands (not applicable)
• Wild and Scenic Rivers (not applicable)
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ISSUES TO BE ADDRESSED IN THE EIS
Right-of-Way Acquisition and Relocation
The EIS will include a detailed analysis of right-of-way acquisition and relocation impacts
to identify properties potentialiy affected by right-of-way acquisition. A property inventory
will be conducted, and a conceptual relocation plan will be prepared. The availability of
comparable housing and sites for business relocation will be determined. The study wii!
address the appropriate means of mitigating adverse impacts in accordance with state and
federal requirements governing right-of-way acquisition and relocation. The study will also
document available relocation assistance programs. Results of the study wili be
summarized in the EIS.
Right-of-way acquisition will be carefuily addressed in the refinement of design concepts.
The number of househoids and community facilities/services affected by right-of-way
acquisition will be minimized to the extent possible. Preference will be given to acquiring
non-residentia( properties where feasible.
Social Impacts
The acquisition of right-of-way, particularly residential homes, may have secondary
impacts on the affected neighborhoods. Social impact issues that will be addressed in the
EIS include the following:
• Impacts on special groups such as the elderly, low-income families, disabled people
and racial/ethnic minorities.
• Impacts on community facilities (for example, schools, churches, parks, public service
facilities).
• Access to residential areas and community facilities/services, including pedestrian and
bicycle access.
• Neighborhood cohesiveness.
Economic Impacts
Some of the Build aitematives would require the acquisition and relocation of businesses
as well as residential properties in the corridor. These acquisition impacts will be
addressed in the "Right-of-Way Acquisition and Relocation Study" described above.
Secondary economic impacts may occur as a result of property acquisition. Economic
impact issues that will be addressed in the E!S include the fo!lowing:
• Impacts on employment.
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• Impacts on locai property taxes and tax base.
• Changes in access to business areas.
• Impacts on economic vitality.
Land Use and Development Impacts
The specific acreage or percentage of each land cover type in the project area has not yet
been identified. This information wili be provided in the EIS. The project is located in a
fully developed area of St. Paul. There are no surface waters, wetlands or farmlands
located in the project area. Figure 2 in Chapter 1 shows existing land uses in the project
area.
Land uses adjacent to the corridor are primarily residential. Alternatives proposing the
northern extension of Ayd Mill Road along the Railroad Spur and Hybrid alignments would
also impact some industrial land uses. Land use changes resulting from the project would
be primarily related to right-of-way acquisition, change in access and significant changes
in traffic volumes. These potential land use changes will be addressed in the EIS.
A preliminary review of the projecYs consistency with local pians was done as part of the
initial screening of alternatives (see Chapter 5). Most of the alternatives carried forward
into the EtS are genera{ly consistent with neighborhood and small area plans for the
project area. Only the Freeway Two-Lane City Street and Fairview aiternatives appear to
be in compatible with local plans. The Two-Lane City Street alternative appears to be
incompatible because it wouid contribute to further congestion on local streets and the
Freeway Fairview alternative appears to be incompable because the construction of the
Ayd Mi1i Road extension through a residential neighborhood wouid require ihe significant
acquisition of residential units. A detailed discussion of the consistency of the alternatives
with regional, citywide and neighborhood plans will be included in the EIS.
The EIS will address possibie related or adjacent development and any potential
cumulative impacts. During the scoping process two related developments were identified:
Midway Marketpiace between University and I-94, and reconstruction of I-94 with the
inclusion of Light Rail Transit (LRT). Traffic forecasts prepared during the scoping phase
assumed completion of these two projects by the year 2015.
The EIS will also address effects of the project on existing infrastructure located in the
corridor. In addition to the Soo Line railroad tracks, a major steam pipe and fiber optic
cable are located in the corridor. The corridor is also crossed by a number of utilities.
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Parks and Recreation Areas
Two existing park properties near or adjacent to the corridor may be affected by some of
the alternatives: at Hamline and Ashland, and at Carcoil and Aldine. Based on preliminary
design concept work conducted during the Scoping Phase, it appears that most
alternatives carried into the EIS can be constructed without direct acquisition of either of
these parks. Most of the Build alternatives will add a trail to the corridor; some may also
increase park and/or open space.
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All potential impacts on parks and recreational areas will be addressed in the EIS. If
required, a Draft Section 4(�-6(� Evaluation will be prepared as a separate section of the '
Draft EIS, and a Final Section 4(fl-6(fl Evaluation will be included as a separate section of
the Final EIS.
Cultural Resources
During the scoping process, a cultural resources investigation was compieted for the Ayd
Mill Road study area (The 106 Group Ltd, June, 1994). The purpose of the investigation
was to identify potential cultural resource sites within or adjacent to the project corridor.
Documentary research was completed to identify known historic structures and
archaeology sites. A visual reconnaissance survey was conducted to identify areas with
the potential for containing archaeological sites. The investigation identified three
structures listed on the National Register of Historic Places (NRHP). In addition, two
NRHP districts are located within the study area. The majority of the properties within the
study area are more than 50 years old, as are several bridges within the Ayd Mill Road
corridor, and may have historic significance. The investigation also identified several
areas within the projeet corridor that have the potential for either historic or prehistoric
archaeological sites. The results of the investigation were reviewed with the Minnesota
State Historic Preservation Office (MnSHPO), and the scope of work for the EIS was
discussed. Coordination with MnSHPO and other historic preservation officials wili be
continued throughout the EIS process.
During the Draft EIS phase, a more detailed investigation will be completed to identify
significant cultural resources that could be impacted by project alternatives. This
investigation will involve identification of the historic contexts relevant to the study area,
such as railroads, milling, early settlements and others as appropriate. Research wiil be
conducted to determine the potential significance of Ayd Mill Road as an historic
transportation corridor. A reconnaissance-level survey will be completed for all properties
within the area of potential effect to identify specific structures and archaeological sites
that may be eligible for listing on the NRHP. The area of potential effect for structures,
districts and landscapes will include areas that could be impacted by changes in views,
aesthetics, noise or vibration, as well as changes in tra�c patterns. The area of potentiai
effect for archaeological sites will include the areas where construction activities are likely
to occur.
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The reconnaissance-level survey will identify any properties that require further evaluation
to determine their eligibility for NRHP listing. The Draft EIS wiii include the results of the
eligibility evaluations for the portions of the study area affected by most alternatives. For
areas affected by fewer alternatives, the eligibility evaluation may not be completed until
after Draft EIS pubiication to avoid costly analysis in areas that may not be impacted. ff
necessary, a Draft Section 4(fl Evaluation will be inciuded in the Draft EIS to identify the
potential impacts of project alternatives on properties that are known to be listed on or
eligible for the NRHP.
The Finai EfS wiff address the impacts of the Preferred Alternative on all properties fisted
, on or eligible for the NRHP. If impacts are anticipated, consultation with historic
preservation officials will be initiated in compliance with Section 106 of the National
Historic Preservation Act. Mitigation of impacts would be addressed in a Memorandum of
' Agreement, if necessary. A Final Section 4(� Evaluation will be included in the Final EIS
to address impacts and mitigation, if necessary.
' Traffic Impacts
' A traffic analysis was completed as part of the preliminary alternatives screening process.
Existing (1994) traffic volumes on Ayd Mill Road are approximately 11,000 ADT. Wiih the
No Build alternative, tra�c volumes on Ayd Mill Road are expected to increase to about
' 17,000 ADT by the year 2015. The build alternatives would increase the amount of
regional and sub-regional traffic served by Ayd Mill Road. As a resuit, traffic volumes on
Ayd Mill Road could increase up to 37,000 ADT, depending on the alternative.
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Traffic forecasts for proposed alternatives prepared as part of the preliminary alternatives
screening process revealed that the Buiid alternatives would shift traffic on Snelling and
Lexington to Ayd Mill Road. The removal of Ayd Mill Road for a linear park would shift
traffic from Ayd Mill Road to Snelling, Lexington and other streets. The impact of each
alternative on traffic volumes for both Ayd Mill Road and other local streets is discussed in
Chapter 5 of this document.
A more detailed traffic analysis will be completed in the EIS. This study will relate
' available capacity on local streets and at intersections to projected traffic demand to
determine levels of service during peak hours. The EIS wili address the impact of
interchange design options and changes in access on local street traffic volumes. Safety
' considerations and the accommodation of transit, bicycle and pedestrian modes will a{so
be discussed.
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Transit Impacts
Study of aN alternatives in the EiS will assume the construction of Light Rail Transit (LRT)
within the i-94 corridor and a feeder bus system in the Ayd Miil Road area. A
Transportation System Management/Travel Demand Management (TSMlTDM) alternative
will be studied in the Draft EIS. As described in Chapter 3, the TSM/TDM alternative will
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include expansion of transit services and HOV facilities, implementation of transit and HOV ,
incentives, tra�c management and parking improvements. TSMlTDM strategies may be
incorporated into all other appropriate alternatives. ,
Impacts on transit ridership wiil be addressed for all alternatives. Impacts resulting from �
transit, HOV or other TSMlTDM strategies included in the project will be addressed in the
EIS with proposed mitigation measures.
Noise Impacts
Detailed noise impact studies will be conducted for each aiternative as part of the EIS.
Existing tra�c noise levels will be monitored at selected sites for both the peak afternoon
(4-5 p.m.) and the peak morning (6-7 a.m.) tra�c noise levels. Existing noise levels will
also be modeled for model calibration purposes.
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Future traffic noise levels will be modeled at selected sites for the year 2015 for both No
Buiid and Build alternatives. Noise levels with mitigation will be modeled for al� areas that '
exceed state and federal noise abatement criteria.
All noise modeling will be based on the FHWA Stamina Traffic Noise Prediction Model as '
modified by MN/DOT for L10 levels. The exact procedures and locations for the noise
analysis will be closely coordinated with the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency (MPCA).
Air Quality ,
An Indirect Source Permit (ISP) from the MPCA may be required, depending on whether
and which Build alternative is selected for implementation. The MPCA has been consulted
for a preliminary determination on what level of air quality analysis will be required. The
exact procedures and locations for air quality analysis will be closely coordinated with the
MPCA.
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Inclusion in the Transportation Improvement Program (TIP) may be required if the project ,
is expected to impact regional emissions, in which case a regional conformity analysis
would be necessary. ,
Background CO levels will be determined by monitoring existing CO levels and using
standard methodology for estimating worst-case levels at locations agreed upon with the ,
MPCA.
Microscale free-flow and intersection CO analyses will be completed at selected areas and
intersections for all major alternatives using Mobile 5a and CAL3QHC air quality modeling
programs. This analysis will be based on No Build and Build travel forecasts for one year
and ten years after construction.
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Region-wide macroscale CO analysis wili be completed for the worst-case major
a{ternative using the EMIS modeling program, based on tVo Build and Build travel
forecasts for one year and 10 years after construction. This analysis determines the
overall difference in emissions between alternatives and years of analysis.
Visual Impacts
A visual impact analysis wili be completed for the EIS including: (1) a photographic
inventory of existing views to and from the road; (2) a map showing the location of
landmarks and unique or special features; (3) a series of sketches showing the potential
effects of proposed alternatives on key views to and from the road; and (4) identification of
design features that could be inciuded in the roadway design to mitigate negative impacts
and enhance positive views. Visual impacts will be considered from both the traveler's
perspective and the neighborhoods' perspective.
Soils and Geofogic Conditions
The primary surficial soil deposits in the corridor inc(ude glacial ti(( of mixed composition
and outwash deposits. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Soii Conservation
Service, Soil Suivey for Washington and Ramsey Counfies, the majority of the corridor is
classified as "urban land". Underlying soils are primarily of the Chetek Complex with
slopes of 3 to 25 percent. Other soils present in the corridor include Waukegan, Kingsley
and Lino Complexes with slopes of 0 to 15 percent. The soils are frequentiy disturbed and
intermixed with fill soiis.
The depth to bedrock generally ranges from 50 to 100 feet throughout the corridor with an
average depth of approximately 80 feet. The depth of the water table varies from 20 to 60
feet with an average depth of approximately 40 feet.
Due to the presence of steep slopes near the roadway, care will be taken in the design of
the project to minimize erosion and ensure slope stability after completion. At this point,
the extent of grading or excavation reguired for the project is unknown. Estimates will be
provided in the EIS. The EIS will include an analysis of soils, geologic and subsurface
conditions for all aiternatives involving new roadway construction.
Water Resources
There are no wetlands or protected waters within the project area. The potential for water
quality impacts is primarily re{ated to stormwater runoff from the roadway. Existing
drainage is handled by storm sewers. Future stormwater runoff will be accommodated by
storm sewers to be constructed as part of the project. Because the proposed Ayd Mill
Road alternatives would minimally increase the total amount of impervious surface in the
project area, stormwater runoff impacts from the roadway are not expected to be
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significant. The City of St. Paul has an existing storm sewer network serving the project
area. Currently, the City is in the final stages of completing the separation of sanitary and
storm sewers. Stormwater from the project area is directed to the Mississippi River.
The City of St. Pau! has a stormwater management plan currently in effect. The City has
an existing National Poilution Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permit from the
MPCA, which was approved in 'l984. Currently, the City is applying for a new NPDES
permit. The proposed build alternatives for Ayd Mill Road would require an NPDES
construction permit from the MPCA. The E!S wil! include an analysis of the effects of
stormwater runoff from the roadway and mitigation measures to be included in the project.
The stormwater management system for Yhe project will meet all MPCA and City of St. Paul
requirements.
Due to the depth of the existing groundwater table, it is unlikely that dewatering will be
required in conjunction with Build alternatives. If any dewaYering is necessary, it is likely
that it would cause only a temporary effect and would be restricted to the surficial aquifer
in the immediate area. If necessary, a Water Appropriation Permit will be obtained from
the DNR.
Possibie groundwater impacts resuiting from the disturbance of contaminated soils wiil be
identified in the study of potentially contaminated sites.
Fish, Wildiife and Ecologicatly Sensitive Resources
The project is located in a fully developed area of St. Paul. Some small areas of open
space with natural vegetation are located on the upper slopes along the corridor. Area
wiidlife primarily consists of smali furbearers, such as raccoons, and various songbirds. It
is anticipated that these areas will remain undisturbed by the project.
A review of the Minnesota Natural Heritage database for any rare plant or animal species
or other significant naturaf features wifhin one mile of the project revealed one record for
the Peregrine Falcon (Fa/co peregrinus), a species listed as endangered both federally
and in Minnesota. The Peregrine Fafcon's nest is currently located on the Montgomery
Ward tower just north of I-94 between Pascal and Hamline. Efforts are undernray to
relocate this nest prior to the scheduled demolition of this building for redevelopment of the
site into Midway Marketplace.
No adverse impacts are anticipated on fish or wildlife habitat or movement of animals due
to the urban nature of the existing environment. An official determination from tf�e
Minnesota Department of Natural Resources and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service will be
included in the EIS. if any potentially significant impacts are identified, they will be
investigated, and mitigation measures will be addressed.
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Potentially Contaminated Sites
During the scoping process, a preliminary contaminated site survey was conducted for the
proposed corridor along Ayd Mill Road from I-35E to I-94. The survey involved the
identification o4 known contaminated sites and sites that have the potential to be
contaminated based on present and/or past land uses. Data identifying potentially
contaminated sites was obtained itom the MPCA site databases through a file review.
Ramsey County and the City of St. Paui were also contacted for any additional information
on underground storage tanks, sp+{is or leaks, and contaminated sites. A total of 35
potentially contaminated sites was identified within or adjacent to the corridor. The number
of potential sites affected varies by alternative.
During the Draft EIS phase, a detailed analysis will be conducted for the Ayd Miii Road
corridor to identify potentially contaminated sites. Data will be collected and analyzed for a
1,000 foot corridor along the proposed alignments. Data will be obtained from the EPA,
MPCA, and from city and county fire marshal and environmental offices. Historic aerial
photography will be examined to determine past land uses. Historic and current water well
records will be examined to locate current and historic wells. City directories and Sanborn
lnsurance Maps wil4 be examined to determine past property uses. The entire corridor will
be visually inspected for characteristics that may indicate the presence of hazardous
materials or contamination. The investigation will also include interviews with persons
knowledgeable about the corridor.
A Technical Report equivalent to a Phase I Environmental Site Assessment wiil be
compieted in accordance with ASTM E1527-93. Depending on the results of the Phase 1
study, additional site specific investigations may be necessary to determine the type and
extent of contamination, and the estimated clean-up costs.
Energy Impacts
The alternatives to be studied in the EIS will result in slight differences in energy
consumption within the study area. Some alternatives may have a positive impact due to
reduced congestion; others may have a negative effect on energy consumption by
requiring more stops and starts. The EIS will discuss energy consumption differences
among various alternatives and energy conservation measures that could be included in
the project. A detailed energy analysis quantifying the energy impacts of each alternative
wil{ not be conducted.
Construction Impacts
' Dust and noise normal to road construction will occur as a result of this project. Dust
impacts wi{{ be minimized through standard dust control measures such as watering. After
construction is complete, the dust levels are anticipated to return to near existing
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conditions, Construction noise would be in accordance with any applicable City '
ordinances. The EIS will address dust, odors, vibration and noise caused by construction
of the project and mitigation measures to be employed during construction. '
Construction of the project may also cause temporary disruption to existing utilities and t
infrastructure in the project area. The EIS will discuss construction impacts on utilities and
infrastructure, and mitigation measures to be incorporated into the project.
ISSUES THAT WILL NOT BE ADDRESSED IN THE EIS
Wastewater
The proposed project will not generate domestic or commerciaUindustrial wastewater
requiring sanitary sewer services or wastewater treatment.
Water Use
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The proposed project will nof require any connections to a public water supply. There are
no wetlands or protected waters within the project area. Therefore, there wiii be no '
change in the number or type of watercraft on any body of water.
Water-Related Land Use Management Districts
There are no wetlands or protected waters within the project area. The project area does
not encroach on any shoreland management districts, 900-year floodplains, state
designated critical areas, or the federally designated Mississippi National River and
Recreation Area.
Physicai or Hydrologic Alteration of any Surtace Water
Since there are no wetlands or protected waters within the project area, the project wili not
involve any physica! or hydrologic alteration of surface water.
Prime or Unique Farmiand
There are no farmlands located within the project area.
Any Stationary Sources of Air Pollution (i.e., Exhaust Stacks)
The proposed project will not involve the installation of any exhaust stacks or other
potential stationary sources of air pollution.
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Hazardous Waste to be Generated
The project is not expected to generate any hazardous wastes.
Storage Tanks to be Used
Temporary storage tanks for petroleum products may be located in the project area for the
purpose of refueling construction equipment during construction activities. The size and
location of potentiai storage tanks is not known at this time. Measures will be taken to
avoid spills that could contaminate groundwater or surface water during construction.
PERMITS AND APPROVALS
Permits and approvals that may be required for the project are listed in Table 15.
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TABLE 15
AGENCY APPROVALS AND PERMITS WHICH MAY BE REQUIRED
UNIT OF GOVERNMENT
Federal: (If federal
on any federal approvals)
Federaf Highway
Administration
Advisory Council on
Historic Preservation
National Park Service
State:
MN Department of
Transportation
MN Department of
Natural Resources
MN Pollution
Control Agency
State Historic
Preservation Officer
Regfonal:
Metropolitan Council
TYPE OF PERMIT
OR APPROVAL
EIS Approval,
Record of Decision,
LocaYion & Design Approval
Sections 4(fl 8
106 Reviews
Section 6(� Approvat
(LAWCON funded parics)
Connection to
I-94 & I-35E,
State Aid Approval
Water Appropriation
Pertnit
Recreation Grant
Approval
Air Quality
Indired Source
Permit (ISP),
NPDES Construction Permit
Historic &
Archaeological Clearance
Controlled Access
Highway Approval
STATUS
To be completed
if necessary
May be required for some
altematives
May be required for some
alternatives
Approva( required for some
alternatives
May be required
for some
altematives
If necessary
Required for some
altematives
Required for some
alternatives
Required for some
altematives
Local:
Ramsey Counfy
City of St. Paul
Highway Department
Concurrence
EIS Adequacy
Determination, Plan
Approval
Will be reviewed
through EIS
To be completed
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7. DRAFT SCOPING DECISION
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The Minnesota Environmenta{ Po{icy Act (MEPA) rules and National Environmentaf Policy
Act (NEPA) regulations require that the EIS include a range of alternatives representing ail
reasonable alternatives. A memorandum prepared by the Executive Office of the
President of the United States, Councii on Environmental Quality, titled Questions and
Answers about NEPA Requlations, states: "When there are potentially a very large
number of alternatives, only a reasonabie number of examples, covering the full spectrum
of alternatives, must be analyzed and compared in the EIS."
Due to the extensive number of alternatives initially identified for this project, a preliminary
evaluation of alternatives was conducted during the scoping process to identify the range
of aiternatives to be studied in the EIS. This preliminary evaluation of alternatives was
completed in two phases. First, an initial investigation was undertaken to determine the
constructability of the Buiid alternatives. Second, the remaining alternatives were
evaluated based on the project objectives. Chapters 4 and 5 document the preliminary
evaluation of alternatives regarding construction feasibility and the project objectives.
8ased on the preliminary evaluation of afternatives completed during the scoping process
and documented in this scoping document, the following alternatives have been
recommended by the Ayd Mill Road Task Force for more detailed analysis in the EIS. This
Draft Scoping Decision wiil be presented at the Scoping Public Meeting, and there will be a
30-day comment period for public and agency review and comment on the Scoping
Document and the Draft Scoping Decision Document, including the Task Force
recommendation. Following the comment period and the Scoping Meeting, the Planning
Commission will make a final recommendation to the City Council on a scoping decision.
The City Council will make the final determination regarding the range of alternatives, and
issues to be studied in the Draft EIS.
TASK FORCE SCOPING RECOMMENDATION
' Following careful consideration of the technical information presented by staff and
consultants, and discussions with the groups represented by the Ayd Mill Road Task Force
' members, the Ayd Mill Road Task Force has recommended the following alternatives for
study in the Draft EIS. The recommended Draft Scoping Decision is summarized in
Table 16.
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Alternative 1 - No Build.
Alternative 2- I-35E/I-94 Downtown Connection.
Aiternative 3 - TSMlTDM.
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TABLE 16
AYD MILL ROAD TASK FORCE RECOMMENDATION FOR
DRAFT SCOP(NG DEC(SION
Sub-Aitemative Alignments
No AMR Railroad
Altemative Extension Fairview Pascal Hy6rid Spur iiamline
1. No Buiid •
2. 35E Downtown Connection ■
3. Tra�sportation System ■
ManagemenUTravel Demand
Management
4. �inear Park ■
5. Residential Development --
6A. Two Lane City Street
. Two Lanes — — — -- -- --
• One-Way Pair — -- _ _ __
BB. Two Lane City Street with — -- ■ --
Connections to I-35E and I-94
7. Expressway with Indirect
Connection
a. Intersection with frontage road — —
b. Spfit diamond interchange ■ --
c. One-Way pair -- --
8. Expressway with Direct
Connection
a. Diamond interchange
(eliminated previously)
b. Freeway to freeway — — ■
8. Limited Access Freeway ■ -- --
10. HOV Altematives
. Reversible ❑ — -- --
. Diamond Lanes ❑ — ❑ ❑
• HOV roadway (2-lane) -- -- — --
■ Carry Forward to Draft EIS
❑ Carry Fon,vard as Sub-Altemative
-- Eliminated in Scoping Evaluation
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Alternative 4.- Linear Park (removes Ayd Mill Road).
Alternative 6B-2 - Two-lane city street (35 mph) with a direct connection to I-35E on
the south and a split-diamond interchange with 1-94 via the Hybrid alignment.
6. Alternative 7B-1 - Four-lane expressway (40 mph) with a direct connection to
I-35E on the south and a split-diamond interchange with I-94 via the Hybrid
alignment.
7. Alternative 8C - Expressway (45 mph) with a direct connection to I-35E on the south
and a freeway-to-freeway interchange with I-94 on the north via the Railroad Spur
alignment.
8. Alternative 9A - Limited Access freeway (45 mph) with a direct connection to I-35E
on the south and a freeway-to-freeway interchange with I-94 via the Fairview
alignment.
9 Alternative 10 - High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) lanes as sub-alternatives for
Alternatives 6B-2, 76-1, 8C and 9A.
ALTERNATIVES NOT RECOMMENDED FOR FURTHER STUDY
The reasons other alternatives were not recommended by the Task Force for further study
in the Draft EIS are summarized below.
Alternative 5 - Residential Development
7his aiternative was not recommended for further study because the corridor cannot be
' successfully adapted to residential development due to the close proximity of the railroad,
the narrow width of the corridor, the local topography, and the need to retain part of
existing Ayd Mill Road to provide property access.
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Altemative 6A-1 and 6A-2 - Two Lane Without Connections to I-35E and I-94
These alternatives were not recommended for further study because they do not provide a
continuous, connected roadway between I-35E and 1-94.
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AltemaEive 68-1 and 66-2 - Two Lane City Street �th Connections to I-35E and I-94
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The Fairview and Railroad Spur alignments were not selected because they would require '
significantly greater construction activity and right-o9-way acquisition, similar to that
needed for the four-lane options.
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Altemative 7A-1, 7A-2, 7B-2 - Expressway with Indirect Connection
Alternative 7A-1 and 7A-2 (frontage road connection) and 7B-2 (split diamond interchange)
are very similar but the split diamond interchange provides better access to I-94.
Therefore, the frontage road connection option was not recommended for further study.
The one-way pair was not recommended for further study because it would require
construction and right-of-way acquisition on two alignments without adding benefits.
Altemative 8A, 8B - Expressway with Direct Connection
Diamond interchange options were eliminated from consideration due to construction
feasibility (see Chapter 3). Due to problems associated with a potential intersection at
Snelling and the close proximity of fhe railroad to the future roadway alignment, an
expressway design is not considered feasible for the Fairview alignment (8A). While an
expressway design is possible along the Hybrid aiignment (8B), the freeway-to-freeway
interchange option is more di�cult to construct along this alignment than along the
Railroad Spur alignment, because it is closer to the Snelling interchange. It also would
have more right-of-way acquisition impacts on the adjoining neighborhood.
Altemative 9B, 9C - Limited Access Freeway
The feasibility of the Fairview, Hybrid and Railroad Spur alignment options for a limited
access freeway were all determined to be questionable due to the right-of-way impacts and
extent of construction required. The Hybrid and Railroad Spur alignment options for a
limited access freeway were eliminated from consideration due to higher costs and fewer
regional traffic benefits than the Fairview afignment.
ISSUES OF POTENTIAL SIGNlFICANCE
This section identifies the sociai, economic and environmental issues that wili require more
detailed study in the Ayd Mill Road EIS. A final determination of issues to be studied in the
Draft EIS will be made after the Scoping Public Meeting and the official comment period.
Issues proposed for additional study in the EIS are summarized below:
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4ssues requiring special studies (separate reports}:
• Cultura4 resources/Seetion 106/Section 4(�}, if applicable
• Contaminated sites
• 4(fj/6(� {ands (park/recreation), if applicab{e
Issues requiring detai{ed analysis in the EIS but not separate reports:
• Traffic impacts
• Right-of-way acquisition and relocation
• Social and economic impacts
• Air quality
• Noise impacts
• Visual impacts and other design issues
• Soils and geologic conditions
• Stormwater runoff
• Impacts on infrastructure/utilities
• Construction impacts
Issues requiring discussion in EIS, but not detailed analysis:
• Transit impacts (included in alternatives)
• Bicycle and pedestrian impacts (included in alternatives)
• Compatibility with plans
• Neighborhood cohesiveness
• Energy impacts
• Access changes
• Vegetation, wildlife, endangered species
• Safety, including speed
issues not considered significant
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, Based on information available at this time, it appears that the proposed project will not
involve the following issues. Therefore, no further analysis will be completed regarding
them:
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• Wastewater
• Water use
• Water-related land use management districts
• Physical or hydrologic alteration of sucface water
• Prime or unique farmland
• Stationary sources of air pollution i.e., exhaust stacks
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8. CERTIFICATION
RGU CERTIFICATION
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A. i HEREBY CERTIFY THAT THE INFORMATION CONTAINED !N TNIS DOCUMENT ,
IS ACCURATE AND COMPLETE TO THE BEST OF MY KNOWLEDGE.
SIGNATURE
B. i HEREBY CERTIFY THAT THE PROJECT DESCRIBED IN THIS DOCUMENT IS
THE COMPLETE PROJECT AND THERE ARE NO OTHER PROJECTS, PROJECT
STAGES, OR PROJECT COMPONENTS, OTHER TNAN THOSE DESCRlBED !N
THIS DOCUMENT, WHICH ARE RELATED TO THE PROJECT AS "CONNECTED
ACTIONS" OR "PHASEQ ACTIONS," AS DEFINED, RESPECTIVELY, AT MiNN.
RULES, PTS. 4410.0200, SUBP. 9B AND SUBP. 60.
SIGNATURE
C. I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT COPlES OF THE COMPLETED SCOPlNG DOCUMENT
ARE BEING SENT TO ALL POINTS ON THE OFFICIAL EQB EAW DISTRIBUTION
LIST.
SIGNATURE
TITLE OF SIGNER
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SCOPING DOCUMENT DISTRIBUTION LIST
Federal:
, • Advisory Council on Historic
Preservation
• Council of Environmental Quality
' • Department of Agriculture
Soil Conservation Service
• Department of Commerce
' • Department of Defense
Army Corps of Engineers
• Department of Energy
, • Department of Health and
Human Services
� • Department of Housing and
Urban Development
• Department of Interior
' Fish and Wildlife Service
Forest Service
National Park Service
' • Department of Transportation
Federal Highway Administration
Federal Transit Administration
, Federal Railroad Administration
Coast Guard
' • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
• Federal Aviation Administration
• Federal Emergency Management
' Agency
• Federal Power Commission
� State:
• Environmental Quality Board
' • Department of Public Service
• Department of Natural Resources
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• Pollution Control Agency
• Department of Transportation
. Department of Health
. Department of Agriculture
• Department of Public Safety
• O�ce of Waste Management
• Board of Water and Soil Resources
. Minnesota Historical Society
. Legislative Reference Library
. Environmental Conservation Library
Regional:
• Metropolitan Council
- Metropolitan Transit Commission
- Metropolitan Waste Control
Commission
• Metropolitan Airport Commission
Local:
• Ramsey
• Dakota County
• City of St. Paul
- Mayor
- City Council
- Planning Commission
- Ayd Mili Road Task Force
- Department of Pubiic Works
- Department of Planning and
Economic Development
- Division of Parks and Recreation
• St. Paul Pubiic Library
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APPENDIX A
APPENDIX B
APPENDIX C
APPENDIX D
APPENDICES
TASK FORCE ROSTER
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS OF
I-94/i-35E DOWNTOWN CONNECTION
TRAVEL FORECASTING PROCESS
GLOSSARY
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District 13
Merrian Park
Lexington - Hamline
Snelling - Hamline
Macalester - Groveland
District 14
Summit Hill
District 16
Highland
District 15
APPENDIX A
AYD MILL ROAD EIS TASK FORCE
West 7th/Fort Road Federation
District 9
Summit University
District 8
Mat Hollinshead
Scott Heiderich
Phil Powers (Alternate)
Margaret Martin
Kathy Voss
Pat Bettenburg
L. Michael Casey
Jamie C{oyd
JohnlBetsy Van Hecke (Alternate)
Jean McMahon
Kate McGough
John Ahern
Jane Jenkins (Aiternate)
Own Sorenson
Anne McManus
John Siekmeier
Tim Kennedy
P.J. McGuire
Eve Stein (Altemate)
Vicky Dim Wiiliams (Alternate)
Michael O'Brien
Peter Carlsen
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Hamline Midway
District 11
DCDC
District 17
Scott Moser
Ailyson Hartle (Altemate)
George Stone (Alternate)
Bob Englehardt
Jules Tollin (Altemate)
Grand Avenue Business Association
Snefling-Sefby Business Association
University United
Midway Chamber of Commerce
Selby Area CDC
Residents in Protest of 35E
Bicycle Advisory Board
Metropolitan Council
Ramsey County
Dakota County
Planning Commission
(Task Force Chair)
Mella Martin
Andy Giesell (Altemate)
Deb Kowalski (Alternate)
Tim O'Gara
8ill Huestis
Matt Hollinshead
Jim Bergstrom
Bob Porter
Randy Treichei
Thomond O'Brien
Robert J. Mayer
Mark Filipi
Steve Alderson
Tim Mayasich
Lynn Moratzka
Stan Zobei (since 3/94)
Linda Hirte (until 3/94)
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APPENDIX B
Feasibility Analysis of
I-94/I-35E Downtown Connection
December, 1994
Prepared by:
Strgar-Roscoe-Fausch, Inc.
Toltz, King, Duvall, Anderson and Associates
Minnesota Department of Transportation
St. Paul Department of Public Works
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APPENDIX B
FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS OF
I-94/1-35E DOWNTOWN CONNECTION
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An analysis was done to determine the construction feasibility of a direct connection
between northbound I-35E and westbound I-94, and befiveen eastbound I-94 and
southbound I-35E. The possibie connections that were identified and studied are
shown in Figure A-1. Following are the results of this analysis:
Alternative A-1, 10th Street Ramp Extension to I-35E SB
This alternative is not constructable because it wouid require reconstruction of the
historic James J. Hill wall in the vicinity of the Walnut Street pedestrian bridge. (At the
time I-35E was constructed, the James J. Hill wali was determined to be a historic
resource that must remain in place.)
To achieve acceptable profile grades and ramp terminal spacing it would be necessary
to reconstruct the Kellogg Boulevard SB on-ramp to place the entrance nose south of
the present location and nearer the pedestrian bridge. The acceleration lane for the
reconstructed Kellogg Boulevard SB on-ramp would require widening on I-35E below
the pedestrian bridge. The present wall along I-35E was constructed as near as
possible to the historic stone wall. Any widening below the pedestrian bridge would
cause disturbance of the stone wall.
Widening 1-35E at the pedestrian bridge would require raising the bridge to provide
adequate vertical clearance over the widened roadway.
Reconstruction of the I-94 Connection bridge and the Kellogg Boulevard bridge wouid
be required. This would cause major disruption of #ra�c during construction.
Public access to the History Center at 10th Street would need to be relocated.
Alternative A-2. Connection from EB I-94 to Existinq SB 1-35E Entrance Ramp bv
10th Street Bridpe
This alternative is constructible. However, the potential impacts and costs are
' significant, and several special approvals wouid be required. The feasibility of
constructing this connection is questionable. Its impacts include (but are not limited to):
' • Requires extension of 10th Street bridge to the Minnesota History Center.
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• Requires extension of the bridge carrying eastbound f-94 traffic over the new ramp
and 1-35E (or requires construction of a new separate bridge).
• Requires a left exit off the mainline. This wouid require special approval from
MN/DOT and the Federai Highway Administration (FHWA).
• Requires relocation of the retaining wall along southbound I-35E approximately 10
feet to the northwest.
• Provides only a 235-foot radius curve off the deceleration lane, with a design speed
of 25 mph. This woufd require special approval from MfV/DOT and the FHWA.
• Requires moving the nose of the ramp to eastbound I-94 to the east to prevent
crossover traffic between this ramp and the new ramp to southbound I-35E.
Results in the acceleration lane being 180 feet short of the standard acceleration lane
length. This would require speciai approval from MN/DOT and the FHWA.
• Requires both the new ramp and the 12th Street ramp to be metered at all times to
ease the merge condition.
• Requires acquisition of some portion of the Minnesota History Center parcel.
(Note: This alternative was originally evaluated as a connection between the
10th Street/1-94 exit ramp and the existing I-35E entrance ramp. This alternative was
not constructibie. Further investigation by Mn/DOT determined that by coming off the
I-94 mainline this aiternative may be feasibie. This section incorporates the results of
MnIDOT's evaluation.)
Alternative B-1. St. Peter Looq NB to WB, with Connection to Existinq Ramp
This alternative is not constructible because there is not enough space between the St.
Peter ramp and the I-94 EB ramp to construct a new ramp deceleration lane, and
terminating the Alternative B-1 ramp on the existing WB on-ramp would violate ramp
terminal spacing criteria.
Alternative B-2. St. Peter L000 NB to WB, with Connection to 1-94 WB
This alternative is not constructible because there is not enough space between the St.
Peter ramp and the I-94 EB ramp to construct a new ramp deceleration lane, and
adding a ramp entrance onto WB I-94 at the location shown would be too close to the
Marion Street off ramp to provide adequate weaving distance.
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Alternative C-1. Ramsev to Daie, One-Wav
This altemative would provide a direct connection for the NB to WB movement with a
40 mph design speed. This altemative may be constructibie but is not feasible
because of the following major impacts:
• High construction and right-of-way costs.
. Major disruption of traffic on i-35E and I-94 during construction.
. Requires reconstruction of part of newly constructed I-35E.
• Requires extension of Ramsey/Grand bridge.
• Requires relocation of new Thompson Avenue extension.
. May require relocation of hospital's heliport.
. Would cause noise, vibration and visual impacts on the hospital due to elevated
structure at approximately 2nd or 3rd floor elevation.
• Etevated structure over the pedestrian bridge would cause major visua{ impacts
upon the views from the Cathedral and Summit Hill areas.
. Would seriously undermine the aesthetic improvements made to I-35E between
Grand/Ramsey and downtown, and may interrupt views of downtown from the
roadway.
• Roadways in this altemative would be close to the apartment building at the corner
of College Avenue/Kellogg Boulevard. Although it is expected that construction
could be accomplished without removing the building, some damages could occur
during construction due to vibration. Following construction there would be some
detrimental impacts due to additional traffic noise and the effects of being closely
surrounded by roadways on all four sides.
. Requires taking apartment building at corner of Mulberry StreeUKellogg Boulevard
• Would disrupt traffic on John lreland Boulevard during construction of grade
separation.
• Because of limited space between the St. Paul Technical College building and
Concordia Avenue, construction of this alternative would require taking at least part
of the building.
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• Access to the Technical College from Concordia Avenue would be ciosed.
• Roadway would cross Technical College property in vicinity of truck docks, causing
potential probiems with truck accessibility and maneuverability in dock area.
• Would require extensive reconstruction of ramps, frontage roads, and I-94 mainline
between Marion Street and Dale Street. This couid include closing the off-ramp to
Dale Street.
Alternative C-2. Ramsev to Dale, Two-Wav
This alternative would provide a direct connection for both the NB to WB and EB to SB
movements between i-35E and I-94 with a 40 mph design speed. This aiternative may
be constructibie but is not feasible because of the major impacts listed for Aiternative
C-1. In addition, this alternative would require disruption of the landscaping and
pathway on the west side of 1-35E between Ramsey Street and the pedestrian bridge.
Alternative D-1. Connection to 6th Street Ramp
This aiternative is not constructible because:
• It is not possible to introduce another exit ramp from I-35E, south of the exit ramp to
' Kellogg Boulevard, without closing Thompson Avenue and reconstructing the
pedestrian bridge.
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• At the west end of Alternative D-1 there is not enough space to merge a new ramp
into the WB I-94 Connection prior to the History Center bridge and the tunnel.
Alternative D-2, Connection to 5th Street Ramp
• This alternative is not constructible because:
. There is not enough space to construct a new ramp between the existing 5th Street
ramp and Keilogg Boulevard.
• Merging a new ramp into I-35E SB, south of Kellogg Boulevard, wouid have the
same problems in the vicinity of the pedestrian bridge and the historic wall as
discussed for Alternative D-1. Widening I-35E near the pedestrian bridge would
require reconstruction of the bridge and wouid disturb the stone wail.
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Alternative E. Existina Conditions with Imaroved SiQninq
With this alternative, all roadways would remain in place. No additional roadways
would be constructed. 'Trailblazer" signing, as defined in the Minnesota Manual on
Uniform Traffic Control Devices, would be installed to better inform drivers of the
preferred route between I-35E to the south and I-94 to the west.
For the NB to WB movement it is anticipated that this route would follow the St. Peter
Street off ramp to 11th Street. The route would then follow 11th Street to Wabasha
Street, cross I-94/i-35E, and then tum left onto the westbound ramp.
For the EB to SB movement the preferred route would be on the off ramp to Concordia
Avenue, and then on Concordia Avenue and Keilogg Boulevard to the ramp from
Kellogg Boulevard to I-35E SB.
Altemative F-1. Loop to Sth Street. NB to WB, with Connection to 1-94 WB
This alternative wouid provide a connection for the northbound 1-35E to westbound I-94
movement via 5th Street. A free right turn would be constructed at the 5th Street
intersection. This altemative is constructible. However, the potential impacts and
costs are significant, and several special approvals would be required. The feasibility
of constructing this connection is questionable. Its impacts include (but are not limited
to):
• Requires extension of Kellogg Boulevard bridge.
• Requires extension of the I-94 connection bridge (5th/6th streets).
• Requires a retaining wall for most of the loop, due to the approximately 20-foot
difference in grade from mainline I-35E to Main Street.
• Closes Main Street, or requires tying it into Ninth Street to retain access. This may
create problems with access to St. Joseph's Hospital.
• Removes the walkway on the 1-94 connection bridge.
• Requires a low design speed of 25 mph. This would require speciai approval from
MN/DOT and the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA).
• Requires acquisition of the Labor Center and Catholic Charities, with a potential for
acquisition of the Dorothy Day Center.
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• Reduces the 5th Street on-ramp to a singie lane. This couid have impacts in the
p.m. peak hour related to queuing distance.
' (Note: Altematives F-1 and F-2 in this evaluation include the results of further
investigation by Mn/DOT staff.)
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Alternative F-2, Loop, NB to WB, via 5th Street
This altemative would provide a direct connection for the northbound I-35E to
westbound i-94. This alternative is constructible, but its feasibility is questionable
because of the major impacts listed for Alternative F-1.
Tunnels
The cost of a one-way tunnei in this area of St. Paul is estimated to be $6,000 per
lineal foot. This estimate includes the tunnel and roadway construction costs, including
lighting and ventilation.
Tunnel alignments have not been developed.
Tunnels may be constructible but are not feasible for the following reasons:
• High construction costs.
• High cost for maintenance and operation.
• Would require standby emergency service in case of accidenis, stalled vehicles, or
vehicle fires.
• Potential conflicts with other existing underground facilities.
Connection Northeast of Downtown, NB i-35E to WB I-94
� A potential alternative would be to provide a NB to WB connection from NB I-35E
northeast of downtown by looping back toward downtown then west on 1-94. The
advantage of this alternative is that the roadway wouid be located away from the high
' impact areas previously discussed. However, this alternative is not feasible because of
the additional travel distance and travei time required to make the movement.
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APPENDIX C
SRF No. 0941911
ITl�iS[�7:7_1�I�lqdil
TO:
FROM:
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Forecasting Sub-Committee
Ayd Miil Road Task Force
Steve Wilson, Sr. Transportation Engineer
Charieen Zimmer, AICP, Principai
July 28, 1994
SUBJECT: TRAVEL FORECASTING PROCESS
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Regional transportation models have been developed by the Metropolitan
' Council and the Minnesota Department of Transportation to simulate and
analyze the effects of transportation and land use decisions in the Twin Cities.
These models are computerized procedures for systematically predicting travel
' demand changes in response to development and transportation facility
changes.
' The models are used by the Metropolitan Council and Minnesota Department of
Transportation primarily for major project planning. They are calibrated and
validated at a level of accuracy sufficient for planning regional facilities such as
' freeways and major arterials. This provides sufficient accuracy for most regional
and corridor-level planning. However, the regional modeis are too large-scale to
' adequately answer some of the more localized questions to be addressed in the
Ayd Mili Road Environmental Impact Studies. These localized issues must be
addressed through operations level analysis.
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This memorandum describes the travel forecasting methods for major
transportation projects in the Twin Cities Metropolitan Area. This process
represents the use of the best available practices and procedures as of 1993,
when the regional travel forecasting modeis were comprehensively revised. The
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Forecasting Sub-Committee - 2- �� July 28, 1994
methods reflect the recommendations of the Nationai Association of Regional
Councils' Manual of Regional Transportation Modeling Practices�'�, and the North
Central Section of the Institute of Transportation Engineers' Recommended
Practice for Reconciling Small Area and Regional Travel Forecasting in the Twin
Cities Metropolitan Area.a�
Figure 1 presents an overview of the travel forecasting framework for regional-
and corridor-level project planning. This schematic highlights the important
interfaces between travel forecasting and other work done in the course of
project planning and analysis. The ftamework includes severai preparatory
steps: developing and documenting the methods to be used in forecasting;
validating those methods against a base year; preparing and documenting the
socio-economic inputs and transportation altematives; applying the forecast
models; and analyzing and documenting fhe results.
STRATEGIES TO ENSURE RELIABLE FORECASTS
Four strategies are employed in transportation forecasting to help ensure
reliabie forecasts. These conventions have emerged as important keys to the
realistic, objective evaluation of potential benefits generated by new
transportation facilities.
Standards for Validation—Validation tests are performed to determine the extent
to which the regionai travel forecast models are adequate for the specific
corridor being considered. The tests demonstrate whether the travel forecasting
methods are capable of adequately reflecting current conditions. Nationally
recognized standards for regional forecast model performance, which focus on
freeways and major arterials, are modified to ensure acceptable level of error for
minor facilities.
Avoidance of Comoounded Optimism—Certain assumptions made in travel
forecasting can have a profound impact on the results of the forecasts. Often,
these assumptions are made by considering short-term conditions or policy
desires that may not be practical. Changes to current conditions will be carefuily
considered and discussed to minimize instances where multiple assumptions are
(1) North Central Section of the Institute of Transportation Engineers, Recommended
Prac[ice for Reconciling Small Area and Regional Travel Forecasting in the Twin Cities
Metropolitan Area, North Central Section of the Institute of Transportation Engineers
(1992).
(2) Harvey, Grieg and Elizabeth Deakins, A Manual of Reaional Trans�ortation Modelinp
Prac[ice for Air Qualitv Analvsis, prepared for the National Association of Regional
Councils (National Association of Regional Councils, 1993).
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Analysis
by
Others
Devefopment of
Forecasting Methods
Validation of
Forecasting Process
against BaseYear
Documentation of
Methods and
Validation
Analysis of Travel
Impacts
0
CIT'Y OF ST. PAUL
SRF FRAMEWORK FOR TRAVEL FORECASTlNG IN MA)OR
TRANSPORTATION PLANNING STUDIES
, AYD MILL 3�0AD SCC�P�NG, DOCUMENT
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FIGURE
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Forecasting Sub-Committee - 4- ���� - 1 July 28, 1994
made on the "optimistic" side. In documenting the assumptions that will underlie
the forecasts, the discussion wilf evafuate the set of assumptions and show that,
as a whole, it represents a realistic portrayal of future conditions and avoids the
risks associated with compounded optimism (or pessimism).
Consistent Policv Assumptions Across Altematives—A large number of inputs to
the travel forecasting process are, at least in part, subject to policy decisions
made by a variety of local and State agencies. Local governments have purview
over zoning, development, and parking policies, and State agencies set
operating policies for highway facilities and control access to important rights-of-
way.
While it is possible to assume that different parking policies or zoning could exist
for various alternatives, this would introduce an additional level of uncertainty to
the forecasts and mask differences among the alternatives. It is important that
all conditions not directly attributable to the transportation facility be held
constant. This convention means that it will be possible to compare the
alternatives with a set of baseline forecasts that assume as fiew policy
differences as possible among alternatives.
Minimized Adiustments to Forecasts--Often, despite the best attempts at modei
calibration, the model does not reflect some conditions as well as desired. In
this case, some fine-tuning of model results is needed to create reasonable
results. Any time this type of situation arises, it presents an opportunity for
inconsistent application of a technique. While adjustments are acceptable
practice, they should be minimized to avoid the possibility of inconsistent
treatment of altematives.
TRAVEL FORECASTING PROCESS
The process used to simulate and forecast travel pattems is a complex battery of
input data and computer processes that transform data into representations of
travel. In generai, the structure of the process in the Twin Cities is very
consistent with the state-of-the art in the United States. The process uses the
standard "four-step" approach to travel forecasting with sequential generation,
distribution, mode choice, and assignment modeis (see Figure 2).
The models were developed using several features considered to be the
emerging state-of-the-art, including:
• Trip generation sensitive to transportation system variables;
• Automobile ownership models sensitive to transportation system variables;
• Trip distribution that considers numerous factors rather than just highway
time;
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..............................
TRANSIT AND HIGHWAY
NETWORKS
Representation of
Transportation Systems
Mn/DOT, RTB, Met Councii
7RAVEL TIME
BE7WEEN ZONES
•�����������Y����������������•
' ' '
BY VARIOUS MODE AVAILABILITY
AND TRAVEL zIMES
� ` MODES OF ,,,
�.TRAVEL ............ .................
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TRIP
GENERATION
Estimates of Future
Travel by Zone
Mn/DOT, Met Council
TRIP
DISTRIBUTION
Estimates of
Zone to Zone Trips
Met Counal
MODE CHOICE
Estimates of Transit,
Auto Driver, Auto
Passenger Trips
RTB, Met Council
� TRAVEL TIMES TRIP ASSIGNMENT
RIOUS:
BY ROUTE Projected Use of
S AN D : �. - 7ransponation
ROUTES S Elements
.............t.................. Mn/DOT, Met Council
, � _._ ...�.
CONGESTION AND
LEVEL OP SERVICE MUL7IPLE
ITERATIONS
TRAVEL �ORECASTS
, _.� ,.. ,�
DEMOGRAPHlC
FORECASTING
Socio-ECOnomic & Land
Use Projections
Cities, Met Council
CITY OF ST. PAUL FIGUIZE
S�F CORRIDOR TRAVEL FORECASTING PROCESS C_2
AYD MILL ROAD SCOPING D „9 J
Forecasting Sub-Committee - 6- "I ��`1 `1 July 28, 1994
•"Muiti-nomial nested fogit° mode choice models, which are probability-based
and capable of high-occupancy vehicle ana{ysis;
. Equilibrium capacity restraint highway assignment model
This forecasting approach uses an iterative process where that changes in the
fransportation system, such as congestion, are sccounted for in travel behavior
in the best possible manner.
The travel forecast models use the TRANPLAN forecasting software, with
severai components being stand-aione FORTRAN modules that are
TRANPLAN- compatible. These include the trip generation program and mode
choice programs, and several smaller programs that produce or manipulate input
data as described later. The input data sources for the model are identified in
Table 1.
This section describes the models and the+r inputs.
The main components and sub-components of the travel forecasting process
are:
1. Highway Network Representation
2. Transit Network Representation
3. Zonal Socio-Economic and Demographic Data
4. Trip Generation
5. Trip Distribution
6. Model Choice
7. Time-of-Day Estimation
8. Highway Traffic Assignment
9. Transit Network Assignment
The Metropolitan Council has primary responsibility for the development and
operation of the models, except for the highway network and highway tra�c
assignment. The Minnesota Departmenf of Transportation bears primary
responsibifity for these components.
1. HIGHWAY NETWORK REPRESENTATION
Ali of the freeways, expressways, and major arterial roadways in the Twin Cities
area are compiled into a computer representation of the region's highway
system. In addition, most m+nor arkerials and many collector roads and other
local streets are included. The attributes of the roadways are described in terms
of:
• Area Type (Rurai, Developing Suburban, Central City, etc.)
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LE 7
MODELS AND DATA SOURCES
� F4R TRAVEL FORECASTiNG PROCESS
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DElvIOGRAPHiC DATA
• Populatiort
• Employment
• Households
PERSON-TRlP GEN�RATlON
• Trip Purposes
• Trip Rate
• Time-of-Day
TRIP DISTRiBUTION
• Origins
� Destinations
MODE CHOtCE
• Auto ownership
• Auto operating costs
• Parking costs
• Transit costs
• Transfers
• Transit availability
• Travel times (access, in-vefiicle,
walk, park, wait times?
ASSIGNMENT
• Vehicie volumes
• Routes (Yime, service,
congestion, speed, etc.)
INPUT DATA SOURCES
�����
• 1940 Census
• 1990 ,Ylinnesota Department of
Jo6s and Training Employment Data
• 1990 Travel Behavior Inventory (TBI}
• Home inierview Surveys
• External Stat+on Surveys
� Special Generator Surveys
• 1990 Travel Behavior inveniory (TBl)
• Home Interview Surveys
• External Station Surveys
• Special Generator Surveys
• 1990 Census
• 1990 Trave! Behavior lnvenYory (TB!)
• Home Interview Surveys
• Externai Siation Surveys
• Special Generator Surveys
• lanes
• Travel Times
• 5peeds
• Capac+ty
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Forecasting Sub-Committee - 8- ��- qq July 28, 1994
• Facility Type (Metered Freeway, Undivided Arteriai, Coliector, etc.)
• Distance {length of highway segment)
. Free-Ffow Speed
• Number of Lanes
• Capacity (vehicles per hour per direction)
The regional network was prepared using default values for speed and capacity
by area type and fscifity types. The va{ues were based on speed studies
conducted as part of the 1990 regional Travel Behavior Inventory,
Far the Ayd Mill Road Environmentaf {mpact Studies, the network segments in
the study area were reviewed for differences from the default value. In addition,
severai other roadway segments potentially importani to ihe tra�c filow in the
study area were added to the highway network. The model for Ayd Mi{{ Road
uses localized changes (such as tum penalties and prohibifions) that are not
used in the regionaf model.
2. TRANSIT NETWORK REPRESENTATION
All regional transit routes are incfuded in a computer representation of the transit
system. The transit networlc looks at the transit system in terms of links, which
represenf the highway system, and lines, which represent the routes' path along
the links. Data in the transit netwark inc4ude:
• Link speed (peak and ofF-peak)
• Link distance
• Route frequency
• Rouie Type (express , local , etc.)
3. ZONAL SOCIO-ECONOMIC AND DEMOGRAPHIG DATA
The regional travel forecast models divide the seven county Twin Cities
Metropolitan Area into 1165 geog�aphic zones. tnto these zones are allocated
various demographic and socio-economic data for the purposes of the forecast
models. The zones aiso serve as the beginning and end focations of travef in
the region. In addition to the 1165 zones, the 35 most important points of entry
into the region are identified as "extemal" zones.
Input demographic information includes:
• Population
• Households
• Retail Employment
• Non-retail Employment
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Farecasting Sub-Commiftee - 9- July 28, 1994
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• Area Type (Rural, Cenfral business Districf, Deveioped Suburb, etc.}
• Size (Acres of land area)
• Percent of the zone within various walking distances of transit service
Sub-models in the regional process generate additional data:
• Parking Costs, based on employment density
• Automobiles Owned, based on income and access to transit
The zonal system was defermined primarily on the basis of physical boundaries
and major roadways. To enhance the ability of the regional model to accurately
portray travel in the Ayd Mill Road area, the regional zone system was
subdivided into an additional 29 zones. The zonal boundaries are shown in
Figure 3.
The basis for 1990 data included the 1990 U.S. Census, the Minnesota
Department of Jobs and Training, and City of St. Paui staff. Forecast year data
are from the Metropolitan Councii, with review by the City of St. Paui.
4. TRIP GENERATION; How many trips?
Trip generation is the process by which the number of trips attributed to a zone
, are estimated based on the amount and type of activity in a zone. Trips are
either "produced" by or "attracted" to a zone, depending on the type of trips.
Each trip has two ends. Trips either beginning at a household or ending at a
' househoid are said to be produced by that household. Trips are attracted to
non-residential activities such as universities, work-places or shopping areas.
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The end result of trip generation is a tota! number of trips produced by and
aftracfed to each zone. The trips at this poinf are "person trips", which do nof
have any association with a given mode of travel.
The determinants of househoid trip production are household size, the number
of autos owned, and location. Severai factors contribute to trip attractions,
depending on the trip purpose. The main variables are retail employment, non-
retail employment, amount of activity within a given proximity, and area type.
The regionai travel forecast rnode! uses twelve different trip purposes:
Home Sased Work
Home Based School
Home 8ased Work-Related
Home Based Shopping
Home Based Other
Non-Home Based Work
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Forecasting Sub-Committee
Non-Home Based Other
intemal-External Work
Extemal-Intemal Work
tntemal-Extemai Non-work
External-Internal Non-work
Coilege/University
- 11 - July 28, 1994
q�"`�`7
These trip rates and equations were developed using data from the 1990
regional Travel Behavior Inventory (TBI).
The Ayd Milf Road Environmentaf Impact Studies will use the regiona( frip
generation modei. Highland Park and Centrai High Schools wifi be added as
special generators to enhance the zone-specific treatment of the school trip
purpose.
5. TRIP DISTRIBUTION: Where are the trips going?
Trip distribution takes the total person trips produced by and attracted to each
zone and apportions them to other zones, creating a set of zone-to-zone trip
movements. Most trips are distributed using a process known as a"gravity
model", so named because it operates on the same principle as the laws of
gravitationai attraction--the likelihood of trave! between two zones is a function
of the amount of activity in each zone and the distance {time or cost) be}�Neen
the zones. Different trip purposes are affected by travel time differently--people
are willing to travei farther for work than they are for shopping, for example.
Work trips are divided into four categories corresponding to the number of autos
available to the househoid — a surrogate for wealth. This stratification keeps
trips from generally low-income areas from being overly-attracted to workplace
areas dominated by higher-income jobs. The classic example of this is the
situation where many low-income residential areas are located next to downtown
business districts dominated by higher-income jobs. A standard gravity model
would not recognize the distinction without speciai factoring.
The work trip models use a measure of time known as "composite impedance"
that is more realistic than most forecasting practices currently employed.
Composite impedance looks at the relative attractiveness of both transit and
automobile modes in terms of time and cosi, then distributes trips on the basis of
this impedance rather than just highway time. This would be helpful in cases
where transit (or automobile) mode has a disproportionate attractiveness.
Non-work trip purposes are distributed on the basis of off-peak highway time.
' Transit market shares are very low for non-work trips, and the extra refinement
of a composite impedance would be minimally useful.
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Forecasting Sub-Committee -12 - "�'�� July 28, 1994
These models were calibrated at the regional level using data from the 1990
TBI.
The Ayd Mill Road Environmental Studies will use the regional trip distribution
model without any refinements.
6, MODE GHOICE: What method of travet is being used?
Mode choice models take the person trips befinreen each pair of zones and
determine whether the trips are single-occupant vehicles, carpools, or transit
riders. The models further determine whether the trip is a candidate for a high
occupancy vehicie lane.
Each trip purpose may have a different set of variables, or weightings of this
variables, that are used in this determination. The models are known as "multi-
nomiai nested logit models", which means that they consider several factors,
look at decisions within modes (such as walking to transit versus driving to
transit), and are probability-based. The models were calibrated based on the
1990 TBI data base.
The factors considered in the mode choice madeis include:
Transit In-Vehicle Time
Transit Walk/Drive Time
Highway In-Vehicle Time
Highway Access Time.
Transit Costs
Parking Costs
Out-of-Pocket Operating Costs
HOV Lane Time Savings
Proximity to Transit Service
Automobiles Avaifable
Density of Activity
The Ayd Mill Road Environmental lmpact Studies wi{4 use the regionel mode
choice models.
7. TIME -OF-DAY ESTIMATION: When is the travel occurring?
Time-of-day models, or "temporal distribution", takes the esfimated trips and
distributes them across periods of time for the purposes of more accurately
reflecting peaking conditions on roadway and transit systems. Different trip
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Forecasting Sub-Committee -13 - July 28, 1994
purposes have different time-of-day patterns, including whether the trips e��
from-home or to-home. At this point in the modeling process, all trips are
combined into a single trip tabie for each travel mode —auto vehicles, high-
occupancy vehicles, transit riders.
' The basis for the temporai distribution is the 1990 TBI. No changes from this
distribution are being assumed iR the Ayd Mill Road Environmental lmpact
Studies.
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8. HIGHWAY TRIP ASStGNMENT: What routes are the autos taking?
The highway assignment process looks at different roadway-routing options for a
trip between two zones and then tries to select the path that represents the
shortest time path. Once this is done, the model compares the estimated use on
each highway segment with the capacity, then adjusts the speed based on the
amount of congestion. The modei cycles back through this process using the
revised speeds until it achieves "equilibrium", or reaches a point where total
travel time is minimized relative to congestion. This process recognizes that
trips between the same pair of zones could have different routings of
approximately equal travel time.
This process will be used in the Ayd Mill Road Environmental Impact Studies.
Separate trip assignments w+ll be made for AM peak, PM peak, and off-peak
time periods.
9. TRANSIT TRIP ASSIGNMENT: What route are the fransit riders
using?
Transit route assignment is made using an "all-or-nothing minimum time path",
which means that al� transit riders between two points will choose the same path,
even if an alternate transit route is available that is less crowded or only slightly
longer.
� Route selection is made based on walk time, automobile access (parWride),
wa+ting time and transferring time. Time spent waiting , driving or walking +s
treated as less desirable than time spent riding the vehicle.
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APPENDIX D
GLOSSARY
AYD MILL ROAD
ENViRONMENTAL STUDiES
AGENCIES
ACHP: Advisory Council on Historic Preservation, an independent federal agency
CATF
CEQ:
CO:
DNR:
�•
EPA:
EQB:
established by NEPA.
Citizens Advisory Task Force
Councii on Environmental Quality (Federa!)
Community Organizer
Minnesota Department of Natural Resources
U.S. Department of the lnterior
U,S. Environmental Protection Agency
Minnesota Environmental Quality Board
FHWA: Federal HighwayAdministration
FTA: Federal Transit Administration (formerly UMTA, Urban Mass
Transportation Administration)
HPC: Heritage Preservation Commission
MC or Mef CounciC MeTropolitan CouncA
MHS: Minnesota Historical Society
Mn/DOT or DOT: Minnesota Departmenf of Transporfation
MPCA: Minnesota Poilution Confro! Agency
MTC: Metropolitan 7ransit Commission
PED: City of St. Paul Department of Pianning and Economic Deve(opment
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PMT:
PW:
RCRRA:
RTB:
SHPO:
TMC:
Project Management Team
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City of St. Paui Department of Public Works
Ramsey County Regional Railroad Authority
Regional Transit Board
Stafe Historic Preservation Office, under the auspices of MHS
Transportation Management Center, a division of Mn/DOT
USCOE or Corps: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
USFWS:
USGS:
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
U.S. Geological Survey
LEGISLATiON
...
DEIS
Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 (Federal)
Draft Environmentai Impact Statement (see EIS)
EA: Environmental Assessment, an environmental document required by the
federal Environmental Po(icy Act discussing the environmental effects of a
project and possible alternatives.
EAW: Environmental Assessment Worksheet, a brief environmental document
required by the state Environmentai Policy Act which sets out the basic
facts necessary to determine if an EtS is needed or to initiate the scoping
process for an EIS.
EIS:
FEIS:
Environmental Impact Statement, a detailed environmentai document
required by both the siate and fiederai Environmental Policy Acts.
Final Environmental Impact Statement (see EIS)
FONSI: Finding of No Significant Impact, documentation that a project will have no
significant impact on the environment and not require an EIS under the
federai Environmentaf Paficy Act.
ISTEA:
LAWCON:
Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act, current federal
transportation funding legislation (pronounced "ice Tea").
Land and Water Conservation Act (Federal)
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Local Governmental Unit, governmenfa! unit or age�cy responsible for
implementing state Wetlands Conservation Act (WCA).
Metropolitan Development and fnvestmenf Framework, a planning
document published by the Metropolitan Council
Minnesota Environmental Policy Act, a state law establishing
environmental review requirements for projects of a certain size.
MEF2A: Minnesota Environmental Rights Act, a state law prohitriting actions
harmful to the environment for which prudent and feasible alternatives
exist.
e MUSA:
, Neg. Dec.
, NEPA:
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NHPA:
Metropolitan Urban Service Area, area eligibie for sanitary sewer
services, established by the Metropolitan Council.
Negative Declaration, the determination by a RGU that an EIS is not
required under the state Environmental Policy Act.
National Environmenfal Policy Act, a federa( law establishing
environmental review requirements for projects of a certain size.
Nationai Historic Preservation Act
RGU: Responsible Governmentai Unit, the governmenta! unit responsible for
preparation and review of environmental documents under the state
Environmentai Policy Act (MEPA).
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ROD: Record of Decision, documentation signed by FHWA after completion of a
FEIS explaining the reasons for a project decision and summarizing
mitigation measures (required by NEPA).
Section 4(fl: This section of the QOT Act provides protecfion for parklands, wildlife
refuges, historic sites and recreational areas from use by transportation
agencies unless there is no feasible or prudenf aiternative to such use.
Section 6(fl: This section of the LAWCON Act stipulates any land that is pla�ned,
developed or improved with LAWCON funds cannot be converted to other
uses unless replacement land of at least equal or greater value is
provided.
Section 106: This section of the Nationai Historic Preservat+on Act requires federal
agencies to consider the effects of their actions on historic properties.
WCA: Wetlands Conservation Act, a Minnesota state law governing the filling
, and dredging of wetlands.
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TRAFFIC
ADT: Average Daily Traffic
CIP: Capital Improvement Program
Connection: The joining of two or more roads, intersection or interchange.
Cross-Section: Graph representation of a section formed by a pfane cutting
through an object at right angies to an axis.
C.S.A.H.: County State Aid Highway
Extension: The continuation of a road beyond its current terminus.
Flex Time: A system by which employees may schedu{e their work (starting and
finishing times) at different times of the day.
HOV: High Occupancy Vehicle, i.e., buses, vanpools or carpoois
ITS: Intelligent Transportation System
IVHS: Intelligent Vehicle-Nighway System
I-94, f-35E: interstate 94, Interstate 35E
JCT: Junction
LRT: Light Rail Transit
O-D Study: Origin-Destination Study
ROW: Right-of-Way
TAZ: Traffic Assignment Zone
TDM: Travel Demand Management, i.e., carpoo(ing incentives, transit marketing
T.H.:
TIP:
TMO:
TPP
Trunk Highway
Transportation Improvement Program
Transportation Management Organization, usually a public-private
partnership
Transportation Policy Plan, one of several chapters of the MDIF
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TSM: Transportation System Management, i.e., ramp metering, HOV bypass
ianes on ramps
VMT: Vehile Miles Traveled
ENVIRONMENTAL
CBD: Central Business District
CO: Carbon Monoxide
CO2 Carbon Dioxide
d6: decibel
dB(A): A weighted decibel scale
ISP: Indirect Source Permit
NPDES: Nationai Pollufanf Discharge Eliminafion Sysfem
NURP: fVational Urban Runoff Program
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ORIGINAL
Presented By
Referred To
Council File # a5-��
Green Sheet # I� 35
RESOLUTION
OF SAINT PAIdL. MINNESOTA
'�
. Date
WHEREAS, the Ayd Mill Road Study: Phase I Report, comp ted in I988, concluded that the issues that
will be faced by the Ayd Mill Road study area over the ne 20 yeazs if no major road changes aze made
would be significant enough to warrant fiirther study of rnatives in an Environmental Impact Statement
(EIS); and
WHEREAS, based on the Phase I Study, the Saint P ul City Council, in Resolution #89-378, requested
that an Environmental Impact Statement be conduc ed to study alternative road configurations in the Ayd
Mill Road study azea; and
WHEREAS, the Saint Paul Planning Comm
convened the Ayd Mill Road Task Force to
preparation of the EIS; and ;
WHEREAS, the Ayd Mill Road Task
representatives, as well as staff from �
in March 1993, initiated the Ayd Mill Road EIS and
in an advisory role with staff and consultants during
comprised of 27 neighborhood residential and. commercial
agencies, has been meeting since September 1993;..and
WHEREAS, the Ayd Mill Road T�k Force has now completed the Scoping Phase of the EIS, and is
recommending a range of 9 altery'atives for fiirther study in the ETS; and
WIIEREAS, the document en ' led, "Ayd Mill Road Scoping Document and Draft Scoping Decision
Docuxnent" explains the Sco g Phase conducted to-date, evaluates the alternafives studied during the
Scoping Phase, identifies issues to be studied in the EIS, and presents the Task Force's
recommendations for er study; and
WHEREAS, the
that a public me
Decision; and
�ta Environmental Quality Boazd Rules (Chapter 4410.2100, Subpart 3) require
heId during the Scoping public comment period and prior to the Scoping
WHEREAS, the,/Saint Paul Plamiing Commission has recommended that the City Council release the
"Ayd Mill Ro� Scoping Docuxnent and Draft Scoping Decision Docuxnent" be released for pubtic
comment and.(set March 2, 1995 as the date for a public meeting on the document;
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Public Works
t Plauuing
Scoping
`� C ! �
B �"u.� ��
NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED, that the Saint Paul City Council hereby releases the "Ayd Miil
Road Scoping Document and Draft Scoping Decision Document" for public comment; and
BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED, that the City Council sets Mazch 2, 1995 as the date for a
Commission/City Council public meeting on the "Ayd Mill Road Scoping Document and L
Decision Document." �
Requested by Department of:
Adopted by Council:
Adoption Certified
By:
Approved by May r:
By:
Council Secretary
Date
Form
Ey;
by City Attorney
ssion to
By: